Rating 7.22 (95th pct) · G+A 24 + 4 (38% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29
Momentum
– BenficaNacional –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Benfica | at home | Stat | league | away | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.8 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.1 #14 |
| 17.0 #2 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 12.6 #6 |
| 6.0 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.2 #7 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.4 #9 |
| 11.0 #18 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 14.8 #4 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| 16.5 #4 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 16.2 #5 |
| 113.5 #2 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 90.6 #7 |
| 63.3 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 37.9 #11 |
| 480.1 #3 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 332.8 #16 |
| 2.0 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 3.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #10 |
| 1.4 #2 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #8 |
| – #4 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #13 |
| 2.2 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #9 |
| -0.0 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.1 #15 |
| – #16 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #8 |
| 2.2 #2 | 2.4 | Goals | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 #11 |
| 0.7 #16 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 #11 |
| 0.4 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| 8.3 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.2 #6 |
| – #18 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #2 |
| 0.4 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 4.7 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 3.1 #9 |
| 11.4 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 7.4 #9 |
| 6.3 #2 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.3 #6 |
| 5.6 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 5.2 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Benfica · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.27 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (9% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.31 ppg with (26) · 2.5 without (8)
Rating 7.04 (88th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 2.4 ppg with (20) · 2.29 without (14)
Nacional · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.0 (87th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.85 (69th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.04 (89th pct) · G+A 0 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.04 ppg with (27) · 0.86 without (7)
Absences
Benfica
- injury Bruma attacker · Unknown Injury · 9 missed · until 2026-04-22
- injury João Veloso midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 22 missed · until 2026-05-05
Nacional
- injury Ivanildo Fernandes defender · Unknown Injury · 42 missed
- injury Ulisses defender · Unknown Injury · 34 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 29
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
- Capacity
- 68,100
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 56,594
Teams
- Coaches
- José Mourinho · Tiago Carvalho Margarido
- Position
- 3 · 15
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Fabio Verssimo
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 12.8° (feels 11.8°)
- Wind
- 10.3
- Humidity
- 63%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Benfica
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 5 · xG 9.75–6.78 · xPts 8.94
- D
A
Casa Pia
1–1
xG 2.38–0.43
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 1.6–0.76
PRT PL
- W
A
Arouca
2–1
xG 2.34–2.55
PRT PL
- D
H
Porto
2–2
xG 1.76–2.16
PRT PL
- W
A
Gil Vicente
2–1
xG 1.67–0.88
PRT PL
WWLWLWDWWD 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 18 GA 10 · xG 20.64–10.69 · xPts 19.55
- D
A
Casa Pia
1–1
xG 2.38–0.43
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3–0
xG 1.6–0.76
PRT PL
- W
A
Arouca
2–1
xG 2.34–2.55
PRT PL
- D
H
Porto
2–2
xG 1.76–2.16
PRT PL
- W
A
Gil Vicente
2–1
xG 1.67–0.88
PRT PL
- L
A
Real Madrid
1–2
xG 2.08–1.25
UEFA CL - W
H
AVS
3–0
xG 3.36–0.11
PRT PL
- L
H
Real Madrid
0–1
xG 0.7–1.34
UEFA CL
- W
A
Santa Clara
2–1
xG 2.08–0.3
PRT PL
- W
H
Alverca
2–1
xG 2.67–0.9
PRT PL
Nacional
LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 5.07–8.32 · xPts 5.24
- W
H
Estrela Amadora
2–0
xG 1.19–0.64
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.47–1.99
PRT PL
- L
H
Estoril
0–1
xG 0.89–1.39
PRT PL
- D
A
Moreirense
1–1
xG 1.35–0.98
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting Braga
1–2
xG 1.18–3.33
PRT PL
WLDLLLDLLW 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 11 · xG 10.52–14.26 · xPts 11.84
- W
H
Estrela Amadora
2–0
xG 1.19–0.64
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.47–1.99
PRT PL
- L
H
Estoril
0–1
xG 0.89–1.39
PRT PL
- D
A
Moreirense
1–1
xG 1.35–0.98
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting Braga
1–2
xG 1.18–3.33
PRT PL
- L
A
Arouca
0–3
xG 1.6–1.69
PRT PL
- L
H
Porto
0–1
xG 0.77–0.69
PRT PL
- D
H
Casa Pia
0–0
xG 1.04–0.77
PRT PL
- L
A
Sporting CP
1–2
xG 0.82–1.99
PRT PL
- W
H
Rio Ave
4–0
xG 1.23–0.8
PRT PL
All meetings · 32 matches since 2005
Goals 84–22 · 3.31 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 62%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 33–4 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–2 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Benfica 2–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Benfica 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Benfica 1–1 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Benfica 10–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 0–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Benfica 3–0 Nacional PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Nacional 1–3 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Benfica all · 34 | Benfica at home · 17 | Nacional all · 34 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.35 | 2.29 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 11 / 0 | 11 / 6 / 0 | 9 / 7 / 18 | 3 / 5 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 2.18 | 2.41 | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| Goals against / match | 0.74 | 0.76 | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 41% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 6% | 0% | 32% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 59% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 41% | 29% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.21 | 2.43 | 1.22 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 0.88 | 0.67 | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| xG difference | 1.33 | 1.75 | -0.41 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.03 | -0.01 | -0.13 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 2.12 | 2.33 | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | -0.04 | -0.18 | -0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 79% | 82% | 38% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.48 | 2.43 | 1.77 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.20 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 100% | 25% | 25% |
| Leads held | 77% | 73% | 56% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 48% | 54% | 19% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 40% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 6% | 7% | 27% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 44 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 46% | 60% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 46% | 60% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 46% | 44% |
| Shots | 17.0 | 18.1 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| On target | 6.0 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 68% | 58% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 7.2 | 7.5 | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 35% | 41% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 10% | 19% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 23.8 | 26.1 | 8.3 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 67.7 | 73.8 | 36.7 | 32.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.2 | 14.9 | 15.5 |
| Cards | 2.15 | 1.82 | 3.35 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Benfica
0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'43
31–45'77
46–60'67
61–75'88
76–90'812
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Benfica · 13 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122
Game state
When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05
Nacional · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.246
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.284
Game state
When ahead-0.492
When level-0.226
When behind-0.185
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.334
Situations
At home-0.193
Away-0.283
4+ days rest-0.246
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.162
v bottom-tier opponents-0.262
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.283
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.126
Conceded when ahead+0.192
Conceded late (76+)-0.136
Ahead vs level -0.27 · Behind vs level +0.03
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 85% | 2.38 | 2.24 | 0.79 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 9% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.33 | 2.18 | 0.94 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.43 | 0.22 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 53% | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.11 | 1.0 | 1.73 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 26% | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 1.32 | 1.58 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.23 | 0.8 |
| Metric | Benfica all · 10 | Benfica at home · 10 | Nacional all · 10 | Nacional away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 0 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 3.00 | 3.20 | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 0.70 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 40% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 90% | 40% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.39 | 3.12 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 0.60 | 0.58 | 1.78 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | 1.79 | 2.54 | -0.53 | -1.18 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.61 | -0.12 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| xPts / match | 2.33 | 2.61 | 1.10 | 0.78 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.27 | -0.05 | -0.10 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 90% | 50% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.75 | 2.56 | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 3.00 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 100% | 14% | 22% |
| Leads held | 89% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 62% | 68% | 19% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 29% | 45% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 3% | 36% | 46% |
| First goal (min) | 25 | 16 | 40 | 50 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 53 | 47 | 26 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 53% | 50% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | 62% | 50% | 45% |
| Shots | 20.0 | 22.8 | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| On target | 7.7 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 15% | 14% | 10% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 77% | 57% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 7.5 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 4% | 33% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 22.9 | 25.0 | 9.1 | 6.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 71.4 | 76.8 | 42.0 | 34.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.0 | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Benfica
0–15'51
16–30'30
31–45'41
46–60'102
61–75'41
76–90'42
Nacional
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'35
46–60'01
61–75'32
76–90'32
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 0.63 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Metric | Benfica all · 52 | Benfica at home · 25 | Nacional all · 35 | Nacional away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 52 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.13 | 2.28 | 0.97 | 0.65 |
| W / D / L | 33 / 12 / 7 | 17 / 6 / 2 | 9 / 7 / 19 | 2 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.27 | 2.56 | 1.14 | 0.76 |
| Goals against / match | 0.87 | 0.88 | 1.37 | 1.47 |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 32% | 23% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 8% | 31% | 41% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 60% | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 72% | 46% | 35% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.18 | 2.56 | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| xG against / match | 0.87 | 0.73 | 1.67 | 1.78 |
| xG difference | 1.31 | 1.83 | -0.41 | -0.67 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.06 | -0.11 | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| xPts / match | 2.09 | 2.33 | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.07 | -0.08 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 69% | 72% | 37% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.53 | 2.56 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.29 | 1.57 | 0.48 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 59% | 75% | 24% | 23% |
| Leads held | 80% | 81% | 56% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 47% | 54% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 38% | 55% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 9% | 28% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 25 | 44 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 62% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 54% | 54% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 48% | 45% |
| Shots | 17.3 | 19.4 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 6.3 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 71% | 58% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 7.0 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 35% | 39% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 12% | 18% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 20.4 | 22.5 | 9.0 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.1 | 69.8 | 39.7 | 34.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 85% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 13.8 |
| Cards | 1.81 | 1.72 | 2.89 | 2.41 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Benfica
0–15'185
16–30'205
31–45'187
46–60'259
61–75'138
76–90'2411
Nacional
0–15'48
16–30'45
31–45'79
46–60'67
61–75'109
76–90'910
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Benfica · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4852
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3152
Late push (76+, level)+0.7719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0311
Game state
When ahead+0.3841
When level+0.6252
When behind+0.2217
10 min after conceding+0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.7145
Situations
With ten men-0.154
Against ten men+0.295
At home+0.4925
Away+0.4627
3 days rest or fewer+0.356
4+ days rest+0.4946
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0615
v mid-tier opponents+0.388
v bottom-tier opponents+0.9613
As favourite+0.6641
Evenly matched-0.044
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1952
Conceded when ahead-0.1641
Conceded late (76+)-0.3842
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.41
Nacional · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0035
Late push (76+, level)-0.1215
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1718
Game state
When ahead-0.3716
When level-0.1035
When behind-0.1225
10 min after conceding-0.1827
10 min after scoring+0.0424
Situations
With ten men-0.105
Against ten men-0.073
At home-0.1318
Away-0.1817
4+ days rest-0.1535
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.437
v mid-tier opponents-0.209
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0411
As favourite-0.056
Evenly matched-0.0515
As underdog-0.3114
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2735
Conceded when ahead+0.4616
Conceded late (76+)+0.0533
Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.01
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 46 88% | 2.2 | 2.35 | 0.83 | 2.18 | 0.87 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 0.5 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 2.34 |
Nacional
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 13 37% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.07 | 1.75 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.41 | 1.57 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 11% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.86 | 2.06 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.24 | 1.15 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.16Home 81% P 84%7.5Draw 13% P 10%15.0Away 6% P 6%
Double Chance
1.04Benfica or Draw 46%1.1Benfica or Nacional 44%5.0Draw or Nacional 10%
Draw No Bet
1.051 91%11.02 9%
Both Teams To Score
2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.4Over 67% P 69%2.87Under 33% P 31%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 84% | 84% | 86% | +2.5 |
| Draw | 10% | 11% | 9% | -1.4 |
| Away | 6% | 6% | 5% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Fabio Verssimo
- Career
- 18 matches · 2 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.7 | 5.66 | +0.08 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 25.6 | 27.9 | -1.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.71 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.37 | +0.29 | 58 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 7.7 | -1.27 | 9 |
- First card
- 24' on average
- Card timing
- 22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 8' | 5 |
| 2026-03-01 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 2' | 6 |
| 2026-02-07 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 22' | 4 |
| 2026-01-11 · Nacional | 8 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6' | 6 |
| 2025-12-27 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 49' | 3 |
| 2025-11-09 · Nacional | 7 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 22' | 12 |
| 2025-11-02 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2025-09-29 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3' | 6 |