Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 31
Momentum
– CFEAPorto –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Estrela Amadora | at home | Stat | league | away | Porto |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.0 #4 |
| 10.8 #12 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 14.5 #3 |
| 3.6 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 5.3 #3 |
| 3.3 #18 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.7 #3 |
| 14.3 #7 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 13.9 #8 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 2.1 #1 |
| 15.8 #9 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 14.9 #12 |
| 77.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 104.3 #4 |
| 29.6 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 51.4 #4 |
| 354.8 #14 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 449.7 #4 |
| 3.0 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 2.3 #14 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #12 |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 1.3 #3 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #16 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.1 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.9 #3 |
| -0.0 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #17 |
| 1.1 #10 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 #3 |
| 1.6 #6 | 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 #18 |
| 0.2 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #15 |
| 9.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.2 #6 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #16 |
| 0.2 #5 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.7 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #3 |
| 2.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 4.0 #3 |
| 5.9 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 9.6 #3 |
| 4.6 #11 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #7 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)
Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)
Absences
Estrela Amadora
- injury Ni defender · Broken Arm · 7 missed · until 2026-01-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 31
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
- Capacity
- 9,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 7,174
Teams
- Coaches
- João Nuno · Francesco Farioli
- Position
- 15 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Hélder Carvalho
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 21.3° (feels 21.3°)
- Wind
- 7.7
- Humidity
- 71%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Estrela Amadora
LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.12–6.05 · xPts 7.02
- L
A
Arouca
0–1
xG 1.35–0.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
WLLDDLWLLL 2W 2D 6L · 8 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 11.79–13.76 · xPts 11.8
- L
A
Arouca
0–1
xG 1.35–0.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
0–0
xG 0.82–0.81
PRT PL
- L
H
Tondela
0–2
xG 0.91–1.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–2
xG 0.64–1.56
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 1.01–1.65
PRT PL
Porto
DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 9.26–5.22 · xPts 8.93
- W
H
Tondela
2–0
xG 3.4–0.11
PRT PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
0–1
xG 0.71–2.11
UEFA EL - W
A
Estoril
3–1
xG 2.35–0.5
PRT PL
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 2.04–0.51
UEFA EL
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 0.76–1.99
PRT PL
DWWWWDDWLW 6W 3D 1L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 19 GA 9 · xG 17.08–10.49 · xPts 17.6
- W
H
Tondela
2–0
xG 3.4–0.11
PRT PL
- L
A
Nottingham Forest
0–1
xG 0.71–2.11
UEFA EL
- W
A
Estoril
3–1
xG 2.35–0.5
PRT PL
- D
H
Nottingham Forest
1–1
xG 2.04–0.51
UEFA EL
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 0.76–1.99
PRT PL
- W
A
Sporting Braga
2–1
xG 0.96–1.07
PRT PL
- W
H
VfB Stuttgart
2–0
xG 1.59–1.62
UEFA EL - W
H
Moreirense
3–0
xG 1.79–0.1
PRT PL
- W
A
VfB Stuttgart
2–1
xG 1.33–0.71
UEFA EL
- D
A
Benfica
2–2
xG 2.16–1.76
PRT PL
All meetings · 14 matches since 2005
Goals 11–30 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–25 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Estrela Amadora 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 3–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 2–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 3–0 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 2–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 6–0 Estrela Amadora neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Porto all · 34 | Porto away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 0.88 | 1.06 | 2.59 | 2.53 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 | 4 / 6 / 7 | 28 / 4 / 2 | 14 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.24 | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| Goals against / match | 1.65 | 1.41 | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 62% | 53% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 41% | 3% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 38% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.13 | 1.35 | 1.86 | 1.87 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.53 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
| xG difference | -0.50 | -0.18 | 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.07 | 1.26 | 2.07 | 2.03 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.20 | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 29% | 85% | 76% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.56 | 2.40 | 2.79 | 2.85 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.40 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 36% | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 50% | 67% | 90% | 93% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 17% | 51% | 48% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 50% | 43% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 32% | 6% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 40 | 36 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 32 | 56 | 51 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 48% | 56% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 58% | 78% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 50% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 13.0 | 14.5 | 14.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 55% | 54% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 41% | 39% | 31% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 14% | 14% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 11.0 | 19.9 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.4 | 46.1 | 64.8 | 64.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 14.4 | 14.2 | 13.9 | 14.2 |
| Cards | 2.85 | 2.88 | 2.53 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Porto
0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Porto · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717
Game state
When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016
Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 34 100% | 2.59 | 1.94 | 0.53 | 1.86 | 0.71 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora at home · 10 | Porto all · 10 | Porto away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.30 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 6 / 2 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 8 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 50% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.13 | 1.96 | 1.84 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.56 | 1.09 | 1.20 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.43 | 0.87 | 0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.55 | 0.27 | -0.16 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.20 | 1.06 | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 20% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.60 | 0.86 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 57% | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 29% | 60% | 100% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 17% | 45% | 56% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 42% | 42% | 27% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 40% | 14% | 17% |
| First goal (min) | 43 | 54 | 37 | 27 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | 21 | 33 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 68% | 71% | 50% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 57% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 45% | 55% | 48% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 11.4 | 14.4 | 13.7 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 12% | 12% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 60% | 69% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 3.6 | 6.7 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 21% | 29% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | 9.4 | 16.3 | 13.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.2 | 41.8 | 56.6 | 51.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 84% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 13.9 | 12.7 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 3.20 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'12
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'30
76–90'32
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.96 | 1.09 |
| Metric | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora at home · 17 | Porto all · 48 | Porto away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 48 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.06 | 1.29 | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 13 / 14 | 5 / 7 / 5 | 36 / 7 / 5 | 17 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Goals against / match | 1.77 | 1.41 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% | 50% | 46% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 29% | 8% | 8% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 53% | 44% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 65% | 50% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.85 | 1.77 |
| xG against / match | 1.63 | 1.52 | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.28 | 0.99 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.23 | -0.04 | 0.02 |
| xPts / match | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.07 | 0.09 | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 29% | 73% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.45 | 2.40 | 2.77 | 2.87 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 0.80 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
| Leads held | 47% | 62% | 90% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 20% | 45% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 46% | 43% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 12% | 20% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 44 | 36 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 26 | 43 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 52% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 58% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 48% | 54% | 55% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.3 | 14.2 | 14.1 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 59% | 58% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 32% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 16% | 14% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 9.7 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 18.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.9 | 43.9 | 61.4 | 61.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 13.8 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 2.83 | 2.71 | 2.19 | 2.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Porto
0–15'145
16–30'114
31–45'174
46–60'147
61–75'142
76–90'179
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Porto · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4748
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076
Game state
When ahead+0.4439
When level+0.4947
When behind+0.5012
10 min after conceding+0.2622
10 min after scoring+0.9043
Situations
With ten men+0.404
Against ten men+0.616
At home+0.4124
Away+0.5424
3 days rest or fewer+0.249
4+ days rest+0.5339
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1711
v mid-tier opponents+0.517
v bottom-tier opponents+0.7216
As favourite+0.6140
Evenly matched-0.065
As underdog-0.323
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1348
Conceded when ahead-0.0539
Conceded late (76+)-0.2743
Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.01
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 48 100% | 2.4 | 1.81 | 0.65 | 1.85 | 0.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
9.0Home 10% P 8%5.5Draw 17% P 18%1.3Away 72% P 73%
Double Chance
3.4Estrela Amadora or Draw 14%1.16Estrela Amadora or FC Porto 41%1.07Draw or FC Porto 45%
Draw No Bet
8.01 12%1.082 88%
Both Teams To Score
2.37Yes 39%1.53No 61%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.85Over 51% P 52%1.95Under 49% P 48%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 72.5–75% · 152 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8% | 9% | 7% | -2.5 |
| Draw | 18% | 17% | 18% | +0.7 |
| Away | 73% | 74% | 76% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 56%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Hélder Carvalho
- Career
- 42 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.86 (4.48 yellow · 0.36 red)
- Fouls / match
- 28.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.41
- Cards to home side
- 53%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.62 | 5.66 | -1.29 | 12 |
| Fouls / match | 28.9 | 27.9 | +0.55 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 4.9 | +1.46 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.45 | 0.37 | +0.65 | 79 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.7 | +0.48 | 73 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 53% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.31
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 66' | 6 |
| 2026-04-06 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 85' | 10 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 · Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 54' | 7 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 14' | 10 |
| 2026-01-24 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 64' | 6 |
| 2026-01-03 · Estrela Amadora | 3 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11' | 8 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 28' | 6 |
| 2025-10-25 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 43' | 7 |
| 2025-09-22 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 45' | 7 |