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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 32

Momentum

FamalicãoBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,940

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · José Mourinho
Position
5 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.8° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

WDDDW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 8.19–3.66 · xPts 9.86

  • W A Estoril 1–0 xG 1.38–0.54 PRT PL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.56–1.67 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 2.27–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Porto 2–2 xG 1.99–0.76 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.99–0.47 PRT PL

Benfica

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 12.45–3.91 · xPts 11.6

  • W H Moreirense 4–1 xG 2.46–0.43 PRT PL
  • W A Sporting CP 2–1 xG 2.29–1.98 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–0 xG 3.72–0.32 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 2.38–0.43 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–0 xG 1.6–0.76 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

Famalicão 23 draws9 Benfica

Goals 9–29 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 22 draws6 Benfica

Goals 7–17 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 21 draws2 Benfica

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Famalicão 2–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 4–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 2–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 0–1 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–4 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Benfica all · 34Benfica away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.822.352.41
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 423 / 11 / 012 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.241.592.181.94
Goals against / match0.850.710.740.71
Clean sheets50%59%41%41%
Failed to score26%18%6%12%
Both teams scored35%35%59%59%
Over 2.538%47%71%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.602.211.99
xG against / match1.000.880.881.09
xG difference0.420.711.330.91
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.01-0.03-0.05
xPts / match1.661.832.121.91
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.010.230.50
Game state
Scored first53%59%79%76%
PPG when scoring first2.442.402.482.54
PPG when conceding first0.671.002.203.00
Came back from behind43%43%100%100%
Leads held75%82%77%80%
Minutes leading24%27%48%42%
Minutes level60%54%46%53%
Minutes trailing16%19%6%5%
First goal (min)47433336
First goal conceded (min)39235160
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%49%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%60%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.470.35
Late goals against0.260.000.240.24
Style
Possession52%54%58%57%
Shots12.414.317.015.9
On target4.35.16.05.1
Shot conversion10%11%13%12%
Shots inside box67%67%67%66%
Big chances created2.52.73.33.2
Corners5.55.77.26.9
xG from set plays31%29%32%28%
Goals from headers26%22%16%24%
Pressure index13.816.223.821.4
Dominant minutes53.556.367.761.7
Pass accuracy82%82%84%83%
Fouls15.715.411.010.9
Cards2.682.712.152.47

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.5Home 17% P 18%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.61Away 59% P 58%

Double Chance

2.3Famalicao or Draw 20%1.22Famalicao or Benfica 38%1.14Draw or Benfica 41%

Draw No Bet

4.01 23%1.222 77%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.07Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home18%19%15%-3.2
Draw24%23%21%-1.4
Away58%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Career
101 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
Fouls / match
29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.725.66+1.3797
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.05
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.37+0.8982
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
27' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-10 · Famalicão 110 300 11'14
2025-11-27 20 160 89'5
2025-10-23 40 170 33'6
2025-09-21 71 290 34'11
2025-08-30 80 320 21'10
2025-08-08 50 250 4'8
2025-07-31 70 300 21'5
2025-07-17 54 271 14'6
2025-05-17 40 310 25'7
2025-05-02 60 261 23'6