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FA Cup · Round 4

Momentum

SouthamptonLEI
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Round 4

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,359

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Andy King
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Matthew Corlett

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
4.2° (feels 3.0°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
72%

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No table for this competition stage.

Southampton

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 6.4–5.88 · xPts 7.07

  • W A Leicester City 4–3 xG 2.0–0.7 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 0.61–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.69–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 0.86–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 1.24–1.32 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 4.89–7.81 · xPts 4.9

  • L H Southampton 3–4 xG 0.7–2.0 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 0.54–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–2 xG 2.05–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 0.75–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.85–1.11 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 41 matches since 2000

Southampton 169 draws16 Leicester City

Goals 54–65 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 50 draws5 Leicester City

Goals 16–23 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 30 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 11–9 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 2–1 Leicester City aet UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • W Leicester City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–3 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 5–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–4 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–0 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–2 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 4–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 5Southampton at home · 2Leicester City all · 2Leicester City away · 2
Results
Matches5
Points per game2.40
W / D / L4 / 0 / 1
Goals for / match1.80
Goals against / match1.20
Clean sheets20%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored80%
Over 2.580%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.03
xG against / match1.76
xG difference-0.73
Finishing vs xG0.77
xPts / match0.92
Points vs xPts1.48
Game state
Scored first100%
PPG when scoring first2.40
Came back from behind0%
Leads held80%
Minutes leading29%
Minutes level70%
Minutes trailing1%
First goal (min)51
First goal conceded (min)62
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half100%
Late goals for (76'+)0.80
Late goals against0.40
Style
Possession40%
Shots8.2
On target4.0
Shot conversion22%
Shots inside box63%
Big chances created2.2
Corners4.4
xG from set plays37%
Goals from headers22%
Pressure index8.1
Dominant minutes39.2
Pass accuracy79%
Fouls10.8
Cards2.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'10
16–30'10
31–45'30
46–60'03
61–75'01
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 80%3.02.01.01.231.69
5-4-11 20%0.01.02.00.232.03

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 100%1.51.51.01.151.0

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 53%3.8Draw 25% P 25%4.0Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.16Southampton or Draw 41% P 39%1.22Southampton or Leicester 39% P 38%2.3Draw or Leicester 21% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 22.5–25% · 134 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%53%58%+4.7
Draw25%23%22%-1.6
Away23%23%20%-3.1

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Matthew Corlett

Career
11 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.82 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
39%

Style in FA Cup (5-year window · 6 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 4.17 cards, 25.6 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 31 210 7'6
2026-01-10 10 160 88'7
2026-01-04 30 170 30'5
2025-12-29 10 140 66'9
2025-11-03 20 220 56'10