Rating 7.06 (77th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (31% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Norwich CityBRC –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Norwich City | at home | Stat | league | away | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 48.4 #16 |
| 15.7 #6 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.9 #12 |
| 5.7 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.1 #12 |
| 4.9 #16 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #5 |
| 11.3 #10 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 12.7 #4 |
| 1.7 #16 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.1 #12 |
| 15.4 #7 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.7 #12 |
| 94.3 #12 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 96.3 #9 |
| 47.3 #8 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 50.9 #6 |
| 414.1 #13 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 337.4 #20 |
| 2.6 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.1 #9 |
| 1.3 #4 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #3 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #23 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #1 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #8 |
| 0.1 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.3 #19 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #14 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 #9 |
| 1.9 #2 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 #15 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 11.6 #3 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.0 #10 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #16 |
| 4.4 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| 9.6 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 9.3 #10 |
| 5.6 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.4 #14 |
| 6.1 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Norwich City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.06 (85th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 6.98 (70th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (23% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Birmingham City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.23 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.15 · G+A 0 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 37% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Birmingham City
- injury Max Bird midfielder · Calf Injury · 56 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Carrow Road, Norwich
- Capacity
- 27,244
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 25,548
Teams
- Coaches
- Philippe Clement · Chris Davies
- Position
- 16 · 14
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Tom Reeves
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 14.4° (feels 13.8°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 75%
Where to watch · 14
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
United States
Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Norwich City
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.64–7.43 · xPts 8.29
- W
A
Sheffield United
3–1
xG 1.72–0.88
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Stoke City
0–1
xG 1.03–0.25
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
4–1
xG 2.33–1.13
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–3
xG 1.0–3.53
UK CHAMP
- L
H
West Bromwich Albion
1–2
xG 2.55–1.64
UK CHAMP
LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.64–7.43 · xPts 8.29
- W
A
Sheffield United
3–1
xG 1.72–0.88
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Stoke City
0–1
xG 1.03–0.25
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
4–1
xG 2.33–1.13
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–3
xG 1.0–3.53
UK CHAMP
- L
H
West Bromwich Albion
1–2
xG 2.55–1.64
UK CHAMP
Birmingham City
DDWDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.51–6.59 · xPts 7.57
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 1.69–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
DDWDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.51–6.59 · xPts 7.57
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 1.69–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
43.9%Norwich City P 51%26.1%Draw P 26%30.0%Birmingham City P 23%
Over / under 2.5
50.1%Over 2.5 P 56%49.9%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
54.1%Yes45.9%No
Expected
- Norwich City goals
- 1.49 (0–3)
- Birmingham City goals
- 1.19 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.59 (6–14)
- Cards
- 4.68 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 43.9% / 26.1% / 30.0%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
45.0%Norwich City25.9%Draw29.1%Birmingham City
Over / under 2.5
55.9%Over 2.544.1%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
58.0%Yes42.0%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.824 | 0.473 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.69 | 0.497 |
| btts | yes | 0.614 | 0.421 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 23 matches since 2004
Goals 33–22 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Norwich City 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 4–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Norwich City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Norwich City 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Norwich City 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Norwich City 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Norwich City all · 7 | Norwich City at home · 3 | Birmingham City all · 7 | Birmingham City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.29 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 4 | – | 2 / 4 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.86 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 14% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 86% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | – | 1.73 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | – | 1.27 | – |
| xG difference | -0.01 | – | 0.45 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.23 | – | -0.30 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | – | -0.24 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 57% | – | 14% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 1.20 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 80% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 34% | – | 15% | – |
| Minutes level | 29% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | – | 18% | – |
| First goal (min) | 26 | – | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | – | 34 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | – | 50% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | – | 22% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 48% | – |
| Shots | 15.6 | – | 13.0 | – |
| On target | 5.7 | – | 4.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 61% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | – | 3.1 | – |
| Corners | 4.9 | – | 6.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 13% | – | 35% | – |
| Goals from headers | 8% | – | 50% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.6 | – | 12.2 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 45.4 | – | 56.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 70% | – |
| Fouls | 11.4 | – | 12.1 | – |
| Cards | 3.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Norwich City
0–15'43
16–30'23
31–45'21
46–60'01
61–75'42
76–90'13
Birmingham City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Norwich City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364
Game state
When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552
Game state
When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296
Situations
At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Norwich City
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.29 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.63 | 1.64 |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| Metric | Norwich City all · 10 | Norwich City at home · 10 | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 5 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 5 / 1 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 90% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| xG against / match | 1.57 | 1.28 | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.36 | 0.44 | -0.15 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | 0.06 | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.59 | 1.67 | 1.22 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | 0.41 | 0.03 | -0.32 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.67 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 50% | 83% | 38% |
| Leads held | 67% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 44% | 29% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 37% | 58% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 19% | 14% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 42 | 31 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 49 | 35 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 35% | 33% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 60% | 25% | 23% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 48% | 49% |
| Shots | 15.1 | 15.3 | 13.3 | 9.9 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 72% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 34% | 32% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 6% | 19% | 40% | 62% |
| Pressure index | 10.6 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | 56.9 | 56.2 | 47.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 69% | 69% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 2.80 | 2.50 | 1.90 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Norwich City
0–15'43
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'13
61–75'43
76–90'23
Birmingham City
0–15'32
16–30'42
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'12
Norwich City
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.63 | 1.57 |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
| Metric | Norwich City all · 51 | Norwich City at home · 26 | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.62 | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 22 | 13 / 3 / 10 | 18 / 17 / 15 | 7 / 6 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.54 | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.26 | 1.44 |
| Clean sheets | 16% | 15% | 20% | 16% |
| Failed to score | 24% | 23% | 20% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 64% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% | 52% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.45 | 1.61 | 1.58 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.33 |
| xG difference | 0.08 | 0.37 | 0.32 | -0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.06 | -0.07 | -0.24 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.44 | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | 0.03 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 58% | 46% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.15 | 2.33 | 2.43 | 2.57 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 23% | 44% | 33% |
| Leads held | 71% | 76% | 75% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 33% | 27% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 48% | 46% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 19% | 27% | 41% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 43 | 38 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 52 | 36 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 52% | 48% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 70% | 38% | 33% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 56% | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | 13.4 | 14.8 | 13.8 | 10.5 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 66% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 25% | 34% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 13% | 26% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | 15.6 | 14.0 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.6 | 58.5 | 53.0 | 43.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 10.3 | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 2.06 | 1.81 | 2.12 | 2.08 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Norwich City
0–15'1011
16–30'1010
31–45'149
46–60'1013
61–75'1910
76–90'1415
Birmingham City
0–15'1110
16–30'1212
31–45'1217
46–60'99
61–75'117
76–90'128
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Norwich City · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1351
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.2914
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0122
Game state
When ahead+0.3331
When level+0.0951
When behind+0.0129
10 min after conceding-0.2940
10 min after scoring+0.4339
Situations
At home+0.1026
Away+0.1625
3 days rest or fewer+0.1917
4+ days rest+0.1034
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0927
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1116
As favourite+0.2015
Evenly matched+0.1521
As underdog+0.0415
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0651
Conceded when ahead-0.2131
Conceded late (76+)-0.1546
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level -0.08
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1550
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1450
Late push (76+, level)+0.2020
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4817
Game state
When ahead+0.0424
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.1427
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.5340
Situations
With ten men+0.573
Against ten men-0.004
At home+0.1825
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0628
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.2524
Evenly matched-0.0419
As underdog+0.297
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0050
Conceded when ahead+0.0624
Conceded late (76+)-0.2044
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Norwich City
Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 47 92% | 1.47 | 1.55 | 1.32 | 1.43 | 1.37 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.56 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| 3-2-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.86 | 1.51 |
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.3d before kick-off · 85 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.0 pts at 35.8h
1.88Home 51% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.963.78Draw 26% · -0.7 ptsopened 3.594.16Away 23% ▼ -2.6 ptsopened 3.65
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 ▲ +3.3 | 3.78 · -0.7 | 4.16 ▼ -2.6 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +3.0 | 3.5 · -0.5 | 3.9 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▲ +4.7 | 3.7 · -0.2 | 4.0 ▼ -4.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.87 ▲ +5.0 | 3.75 ▼ -1.6 | 3.9 ▼ -3.4 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.91 ▲ +3.0 | 3.7 · -0.9 | 3.75 ▼ -2.0 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 ▲ +2.2 | 3.6 · -0.7 | 3.7 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.88 ▲ +3.5 | 3.55 ▼ -1.1 | 3.85 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 ▲ +5.3 | 3.5 ▼ -1.3 | 3.9 ▼ -4.0 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.67Yes 55% · +0.3 ptsopened 1.682.08No 45% · -0.3 ptsopened 2.07
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.67 · +0.3 | 2.08 · -0.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +1.9 | 2.2 ▼ -1.9 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +2.7 | 2.3 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 ▲ +1.9 | 2.2 ▼ -1.9 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.6 ▲ +2.7 | 2.25 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.3d before kick-off · 85 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.7 pts at 1.8h
1.74Over 56% ▲ +3.4 ptsopened 1.822.18Under 44% ▼ -3.4 ptsopened 1.99
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▲ +3.4 | 2.18 ▼ -3.4 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +4.4 | 2.2 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +1.6 | 2.05 ▼ -1.6 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +3.2 | 2.04 ▼ -3.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.76 ▲ +2.0 | 1.97 ▼ -2.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.9Home 49% P 51%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.9Away 24% P 23%
Double Chance
1.22Norwich or Draw 39%1.28Norwich or Birmingham 37%1.9Draw or Birmingham 25%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 48%1.72Under 54% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 51% | 51% | 53% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | -2.6 |
| Away | 23% | 23% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Tom Reeves
- Career
- 26 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 56%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.9 | 4.05 | -0.28 | 41 |
| Fouls / match | 21.2 | 21.8 | -0.61 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 5.4 | -0.17 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.17 | +0.30 | 69 |
| Time added | 8.1 | 7.2 | +1.02 | 86 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 56% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 54' | 6 |
| 2026-08-22 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 24' | 10 |
| 2026-04-21 · Norwich City | 5 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 19' | 15 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 50' | 7 |
| 2026-02-24 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2026-02-14 · Norwich City | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 14' | 8 |
| 2026-01-10 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 60' | 5 |
| 2025-12-09 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 13' | 8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 30' | 8 |
| 2025-11-29 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 64' | 6 |