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Championship · Matchweek 4

Momentum

Stoke CityNorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,140

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Philippe Clement
Position
24 · 15
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.6° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 12

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 2.42–5.72 · xPts 2.22

  • L A Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–4 xG 0.7–2.44 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 0.83–2.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.89–6.3 · xPts 4.32

  • W H Burnley 4–1 xG 2.33–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 1.0–3.53 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 2.55–1.64 UK CHAMP

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 27 matches since 2005

Stoke City 107 draws10 Norwich City

Goals 34–33 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 23 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 22 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 4–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Norwich City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 4–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 7Stoke City at home · 3Norwich City all · 7Norwich City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.431.29
W / D / L3 / 1 / 33 / 0 / 4
Goals for / match1.571.86
Goals against / match1.571.86
Clean sheets29%0%
Failed to score0%29%
Both teams scored71%71%
Over 2.571%86%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.63
xG against / match1.501.64
xG difference-0.45-0.01
Finishing vs xG0.530.23
xPts / match1.131.47
Points vs xPts0.30-0.18
Game state
Scored first86%57%
PPG when scoring first1.672.25
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%0%
Leads held50%75%
Minutes leading42%34%
Minutes level40%29%
Minutes trailing18%37%
First goal (min)1926
First goal conceded (min)4032
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half9%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.14
Late goals against0.570.43
Style
Possession44%52%
Shots11.915.6
On target4.05.7
Shot conversion13%12%
Shots inside box68%61%
Big chances created1.33.1
Corners4.04.9
xG from set plays20%13%
Goals from headers9%8%
Pressure index11.69.6
Dominant minutes47.045.4
Pass accuracy77%79%
Fouls15.711.4
Cards2.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'41
16–30'43
31–45'20
46–60'11
61–75'02
76–90'04

Norwich City

0–15'43
16–30'23
31–45'21
46–60'01
61–75'42
76–90'13

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 43%0.01.03.00.811.91
3-5-22 29%2.02.50.51.551.64
3-4-2-11 14%3.02.01.01.530.43
3-4-31 14%3.01.00.00.251.03

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.291.861.861.631.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.8 pts at 13.0h

3.49Home 28% ▼ -4.6 ptsopened 2.923.58Draw 27% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 3.322.14Away 45% ▲ +5.9 ptsopened 2.4
3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.49 ▼ -4.63.58 ▼ -1.42.14 ▲ +5.910m
bet3653.3 ▼ -6.83.4 · -0.22.15 ▲ +7.010m
Betfair3.4 ▼ -8.33.5 · +0.22.1 ▲ +8.210m
BetVictor3.4 ▼ -7.43.5 ▼ -1.12.1 ▲ +8.510m
Coral3.25 ▼ -3.23.4 ▲ +1.02.2 ▲ +2.210m
Ladbrokes3.25 ▼ -3.53.3 ▲ +1.62.2 ▲ +1.910m
Unibet3.2 ▼ -2.13.5 ▼ -1.32.1 ▲ +3.310m
WilliamHill3.3 ▼ -7.33.4 ▼ -1.22.1 ▲ +8.610m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.3Home 29% P 28%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.15Away 44% P 45%

Double Chance

1.72Stoke or Draw 27%1.28Stoke or Norwich 36%1.28Draw or Norwich 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 47%1.8Under 51% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%28%34%+6.0
Draw27%26%22%-3.6
Away45%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 50 251 47'8
2026-08-17 20 220 33'8
2026-05-24 40 211 41'13
2026-04-25 30 231 16'9
2026-04-21 10 140 35'8
2026-04-11 30 220 53'10
2026-04-06 40 240 33'7
2026-03-14 11 150 59'10
2026-03-06 20 190 22'9
2026-02-28 · Stoke City 20 130 90'10