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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

Norwich CityBurnley
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,498

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Nicky Hayen
Position
22 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
18.3° (feels 18.6°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.82–7.07 · xPts 3.19

  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 1.0–3.53 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 2.55–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 1.26–1.9 UK CHAMP

Burnley

DLDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 7.33–8.73 · xPts 5.81

  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–3 xG 1.1–2.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H West Ham United 2–2 xG 2.99–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–1 xG 1.28–2.31 UK PL
  • L A Arsenal 0–1 xG 0.39–1.4 UK PL
  • D H Aston Villa 2–2 xG 1.57–1.45 UK PL

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Norwich City 53 draws12 Burnley

Goals 20–33 · 2.65 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 31 draws6 Burnley

Goals 10–14 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 10 draws4 Burnley

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Norwich City 4–1 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Burnley 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–2 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–3 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Burnley 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Burnley 0–0 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–2 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Burnley 1–2 Norwich City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Burnley 2–0 Norwich City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 7Norwich City at home · 3Burnley all · 7Burnley away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.290.43
W / D / L3 / 0 / 40 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match1.861.14
Goals against / match1.862.29
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score29%0%
Both teams scored71%100%
Over 2.586%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.631.32
xG against / match1.641.58
xG difference-0.01-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.23-0.18
xPts / match1.471.17
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.74
Game state
Scored first57%43%
PPG when scoring first2.250.33
PPG when conceding first0.000.50
Came back from behind0%33%
Leads held75%0%
Minutes leading34%10%
Minutes level29%39%
Minutes trailing37%51%
First goal (min)2645
First goal conceded (min)3229
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.29
Late goals against0.430.29
Style
Possession52%50%
Shots15.614.4
On target5.74.0
Shot conversion12%8%
Shots inside box61%57%
Big chances created3.12.3
Corners4.95.0
xG from set plays13%24%
Goals from headers8%0%
Pressure index9.69.5
Dominant minutes45.443.6
Pass accuracy79%83%
Fouls11.410.6
Cards3.002.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'43
16–30'23
31–45'21
46–60'01
61–75'42
76–90'13

Burnley

0–15'14
16–30'23
31–45'01
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Burnley · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224

Game state

When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.291.861.861.631.64

Burnley

Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 86%0.331.172.51.41.68
4-3-2-11 14%1.01.01.00.91.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.3 pts at 5.0h

2.09Home 46% ▲ +5.4 ptsopened 2.333.7Draw 26% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.583.51Away 28% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 2.93
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.09 ▲ +5.43.7 · -0.53.51 ▼ -4.91.0h
bet3652.05 ▲ +9.53.6 · -0.73.4 ▼ -8.81.0h
Betfair2.05 ▲ +6.43.5 · +0.03.4 ▼ -6.51.0h
BetVictor2.05 ▲ +7.33.6 · -0.93.4 ▼ -6.41.0h
Coral2.05 ▲ +7.53.6 ▼ -1.53.4 ▼ -6.01.0h
Ladbrokes2.05 ▲ +7.73.6 ▼ -1.43.4 ▼ -6.41.0h
Unibet2.06 ▲ +6.13.5 · -0.43.3 ▼ -5.71.0h
WilliamHill2.05 ▲ +6.13.4 · -0.93.3 ▼ -5.11.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.4Away 28% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Norwich or Draw 35%1.25Norwich or Burnley 38%1.72Draw or Burnley 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 55%1.9Under 49% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%50%+4.6
Draw26%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.43
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.762
Time added8.37.2+1.2592
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 50 210 14'9
2026-04-21 70 240 28'8
2026-04-06 30 280 3'10
2026-03-10 60 230 31'12
2026-03-03 70 290 13'7
2026-02-07 40 200 53'8
2026-01-20 · Norwich City 40 220 14'5
2026-01-11 40 230 55'6
2025-12-20 30 220 31'10
2025-11-01 50 300 32'6