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Championship · Matchweek 2

Momentum

MillwallNorwich City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,564

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Philippe Clement
Position
2 · 20
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.3° (feels 20.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
41%

Where to watch · 14

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

DWDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 9.78–5.31 · xPts 9.28

  • W A Bristol City 2–0 xG 3.12–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–2 xG 1.02–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 0–0 xG 0.76–0.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–0 xG 2.78–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 2.1–1.51 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

DLL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 5.87–4.91 · xPts 4.7

  • L H West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 2.55–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 1.26–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 1–1 xG 2.06–1.38 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Millwall 64 draws11 Norwich City

Goals 29–37 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 41 draws5 Norwich City

Goals 14–14 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 30 draws2 Norwich City

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Millwall 3–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 7Millwall at home · 3Norwich City all · 7Norwich City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.431.29
W / D / L3 / 1 / 33 / 0 / 4
Goals for / match1.861.86
Goals against / match1.861.86
Clean sheets43%0%
Failed to score14%29%
Both teams scored43%71%
Over 2.586%86%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.001.63
xG against / match1.381.64
xG difference0.62-0.01
Finishing vs xG-0.140.23
xPts / match1.681.47
Points vs xPts-0.25-0.18
Game state
Scored first71%57%
PPG when scoring first2.002.25
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%0%
Leads held60%75%
Minutes leading37%34%
Minutes level38%29%
Minutes trailing25%37%
First goal (min)2926
First goal conceded (min)3632
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.570.14
Late goals against0.290.43
Style
Possession46%52%
Shots14.115.6
On target3.75.7
Shot conversion13%12%
Shots inside box80%61%
Big chances created2.93.1
Corners4.44.9
xG from set plays24%13%
Goals from headers17%8%
Pressure index11.59.6
Dominant minutes48.145.4
Pass accuracy75%79%
Fouls11.111.4
Cards1.573.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42

Norwich City

0–15'43
16–30'23
31–45'21
46–60'01
61–75'42
76–90'13

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 43%2.02.01.672.721.57
4-2-3-13 43%1.332.331.671.861.29
3-1-4-21 14%0.00.03.00.241.06

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.291.861.861.631.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 45.7h before kick-off · 47 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.4 pts at 4.5h

2.58Home 37% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 2.273.4Draw 28% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 3.492.84Away 34% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 3.1
24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.58 ▼ -4.53.4 ▲ +1.22.84 ▲ +3.330m
bet3652.5 ▼ -4.63.4 · +0.32.75 ▲ +4.330m
Betfair2.5 ▼ -5.43.3 ▲ +1.42.8 ▲ +4.030m
BetVictor2.5 ▼ -4.23.4 · +0.02.75 ▲ +4.230m
Coral2.4 ▼ -4.23.3 ▲ +1.22.87 ▲ +2.930m
Ladbrokes2.4 ▼ -3.83.3 · +0.72.87 ▲ +3.230m
Unibet2.38 ▼ -2.53.35 · -0.32.88 ▲ +2.930m
WilliamHill2.38 ▼ -2.93.25 · +0.62.9 ▲ +2.330m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 37%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.75Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Millwall or Draw 33%1.33Millwall or Norwich 35%1.5Draw or Norwich 31%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 48%2.0Under 46% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw28%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.24
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9512
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 40 240 29'6
2026-04-18 60 270 26'6
2026-04-11 20 260 10'7
2026-04-06 · Millwall · Norwich City 30 190 24'7
2026-03-21 40 160 56'2
2026-02-28 30 310 60'8
2026-02-24 50 270 10'8
2026-02-10 · Norwich City 20 200 53'6
2026-01-17 20 200 38'7
2026-01-04 23 12