Borussia Mönchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

Borussia MönchengladbachBMG

3–4

FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05

Momentum

– BMGFSV Mainz 05 –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Borussia Mönchengladbach	at home	Stat	league	away	FSV Mainz 05
47.7 #11	–	Ball possession	49.7	–	50.3 #9
15.0 #10	–	Shots total	15.6	–	18.7 #4
3.3 #16	–	Shots on target	5.5	–	5.7 #8
7.0 #5	–	Corners	5.7	–	6.7 #7
15.7 #1	–	Fouls	11.2	–	12.7 #5
3.7 #1	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.0 #11
15.7 #7	–	Tackles	15.8	–	16.7 #5
85.0 #13	–	Attacks	99.8	–	109.7 #7
46.7 #10	–	Dangerous attacks	50.6	–	62.3 #4
392.3 #14	–	Passes	450.5	–	429.3 #10
2.0 #4	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	1.3 #11
1.0 #11	–	Assists	1.8	–	2.0 #7
– #11	–	Btts	57.4	–	– #11
– #10	–	Cleansheet	25.0	–	– #1
– #11	–	Draw	17.6	–	– #1
1.4 #14	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	2.1 #6
-0.4 #15	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	-0.1 #11
– #3	–	Failed to score	24.5	–	– #6
1.0 #14	3.0	Goals	2.0	5.0	2.0 #9
4.0 #2	4.0	Goals conceded	2.0	0.0	1.0 #13
0.3 #7	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.7 #3
7.0 #17	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	13.0 #3
– #1	–	Lost	41.2	–	– #7
–	–	Penalties scored	0.1	–	0.0 #2
6.5 #17	–	Rating	6.9	–	7.0 #6
7.0 #2	–	Shots blocked	4.4	–	5.0 #5
11.0 #7	–	Shots insidebox	10.3	–	13.0 #4
4.7 #11	–	Shots off target	5.6	–	8.0 #3
4.0 #14	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	5.7 #6
– #15	–	Win	41.2	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Last 365 days

Franck Honorat 9 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 6.91 (63th pct) · G+A 2 + 9 (24% of team goals) · 61% of minutes

Team 1.09 ppg with (23) · 1.09 without (11)

Kevin Diks 4 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 6.89 (66th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (11% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.1 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

Joe Scally 29 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.64 (23th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (13% of team goals) · 86% of minutes

Team 1.24 ppg with (29) · 0.2 without (5)

All key players

FSV Mainz 05 · Last 365 days

Nadiem Amiri 10 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.34 (97th pct) · G+A 13 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 63% of minutes

Team 1.32 ppg with (28) · 1.62 without (16)

Kaishu Sano 6 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.01 (77th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (10% of team goals) · 96% of minutes

Paul Nebel 8 · Attacking Midfield

Injury · Adductor Injury

Rating 6.92 (67th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (15% of team goals) · 70% of minutes

Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.46 without (13)

All key players

Absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach

injury Enzo Leopold midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 2 missed
injury Jens Castrop #5 key player midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 5 missed
injury Nicolas Kühn attacker · Muscle Injury · 1 missed
injury Yukhym Konoplya defender · Knee Injury
suspension Tim Kleindienst #16 key player attacker · Indirect Card Suspension · until 2026-09-20

FSV Mainz 05

injury Dominik Kohr #11 key player defender · Ankle Injury · 2 missed
injury Paul Nebel #3 key player midfielder · Adductor Injury · 6 missed
injury Robin Zentner #16 key player goalkeeper · Hand Injury
injury Silas #20 key player attacker · Broken Ankle · 23 missed
injury Silvan Widmer #12 key player defender · Knee Injury · 2 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 4

Venue

Stadium: Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity: 54,057
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: Eugen Polanski · Urs Fischer
Position: 17 · 8
Formation: 4-4-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Robert Hartmann

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 21.7° (feels 21.4°)
Wind: 3.6
Humidity: 57%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	12	10	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
3	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1	DLLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Bayern München	2	2	0	0	12	1	11	6	WDWW
2	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
4	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
5	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
6	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDWW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
16	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL
18	FC Union Berlin	2	0	0	2	0	11	-11	0	DLLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 4.12–9.51 · xPts 1.84

L A SC Freiburg 0–5 xG 0.32–2.95 GER BI
L H Elversberg 3–4 xG 2.73–2.69 GER BI
L A RB Leipzig 0–3 xG 1.06–3.87 GER BI

FSV Mainz 05

DWL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.36–3.12 · xPts 5.99

L H Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 xG 2.46–1.91 GER BI
W A Hamburger SV 5–0 xG 2.71–0.26 GER BI
D H Paderborn 0–0 xG 1.19–0.95 GER BI

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

30.0%Borussia Mönchengladbach P 28%24.4%Draw P 26%45.6%FSV Mainz 05 P 45%

Over / under 2.5

57.3%Over 2.5 P 61%42.7%Under 2.5 P 39%

Both teams to score

59.6%Yes40.4%No

Expected

Borussia Mönchengladbach goals: 1.31 (0–3)
FSV Mainz 05 goals: 1.67 (0–3)
Corners: 9.72 (6–14)
Cards: 4.33 (2–7)

Earlier: day before — 29.8% / 24.4% / 45.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

28.0%Borussia Mönchengladbach24.2%Draw47.8%FSV Mainz 05

Over / under 2.5

58.3%Over 2.541.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

58.5%Yes41.5%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 39 matches since 2005

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1512 draws12 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 54–48 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 15 draws4 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 11–18 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach 12 draws2 FSV Mainz 05

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
W FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
D FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
D Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
L FSV Mainz 05 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season
D Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 3	Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 1	FSV Mainz 05 all · 3	FSV Mainz 05 away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223

Early press (0-15, level)+0.203

Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163

When behind-0.463

10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222

4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222

As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243

Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: when level +0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.113

Early press (0-15, level)+0.223

Game state

When level+0.323

10 min after scoring+0.242

Situations

At home+0.032

4+ days rest+0.113

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.302

As favourite+0.032

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.193

Conceded late (76+)-0.422

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.58

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 67%	0.0	1.5	3.5	1.9	3.28
4-4-2	1 33%	0.0	0.0	5.0	0.32	2.95

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-1-4-2	2 67%	0.5	0.5	1.5	1.82	1.43
3-5-2	1 33%	3.0	5.0	0.0	2.71	0.26

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 10	Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 10	FSV Mainz 05 all · 10	FSV Mainz 05 away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	1.80	1.10	1.80
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	5 / 3 / 2	3 / 2 / 5	5 / 3 / 2
Goals for / match	1.20	1.90	1.50	1.50
Goals against / match	1.90	1.10	1.70	1.20
Clean sheets	30%	50%	30%	40%
Failed to score	40%	10%	30%	30%
Both teams scored	40%	40%	50%	40%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	60%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.33	1.63	1.91	1.66
xG against / match	2.15	1.33	1.55	1.54
xG difference	-0.82	0.31	0.36	0.11
Finishing vs xG	-0.13	0.27	-0.41	-0.16
xPts / match	0.97	1.52	1.63	1.48
Points vs xPts	-0.07	0.28	-0.53	0.33
Game state
Scored first	50%	90%	40%	60%
PPG when scoring first	1.60	2.00	2.25	2.67
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.00	0.20	0.33
Came back from behind	17%	33%	17%	33%
Leads held	40%	56%	75%	83%
Minutes leading	25%	44%	34%	41%
Minutes level	51%	48%	34%	34%
Minutes trailing	24%	8%	32%	25%
First goal (min)	38	31	39	30
First goal conceded (min)	42	44	38	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	50%	42%	40%	47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	64%	65%	42%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.40	0.40	0.40
Late goals against	0.70	0.30	0.50	0.30
Style
Possession	50%	47%	48%	44%
Shots	13.1	13.4	15.9	11.6
On target	4.0	5.4	5.5	4.9
Shot conversion	9%	14%	9%	13%
Shots inside box	67%	66%	69%	76%
Big chances created	1.8	2.6	3.8	3.7
Corners	3.7	3.1	5.7	3.8
xG from set plays	29%	36%	31%	35%
Goals from headers	8%	17%	7%	20%
Pressure index	9.9	10.5	14.4	10.8
Dominant minutes	42.9	46.3	51.0	44.5
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	80%	78%
Fouls	11.2	11.1	10.7	9.5
Cards	3.20	2.70	1.70	1.90

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'30

16–30'26

31–45'11

46–60'11

61–75'14

76–90'47

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'32

16–30'21

31–45'43

46–60'23

61–75'03

76–90'45

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	3 30%	1.0	2.33	2.33	1.6	2.74
4-3-3	2 20%	0.0	0.5	2.0	1.5	2.2
3-5-1-1	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.77	2.3
3-4-2-1	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.07	1.25
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	5.0	0.32	2.95

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	6 60%	1.5	2.17	2.0	2.07	1.88
3-1-4-2	3 30%	0.67	0.67	1.33	1.98	1.21
5-3-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.74	0.61

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34	Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 16	FSV Mainz 05 all · 44	FSV Mainz 05 away · 22
Results
Matches	34	16	44	22
Points per game	1.09	1.44	1.43	1.36
W / D / L	9 / 10 / 15	6 / 5 / 5	17 / 12 / 15	8 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match	1.32	1.69	1.36	1.32
Goals against / match	1.76	1.50	1.36	1.50
Clean sheets	35%	44%	27%	23%
Failed to score	32%	25%	27%	32%
Both teams scored	44%	44%	52%	50%
Over 2.5	59%	56%	50%	59%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.34	1.48	1.60	1.35
xG against / match	1.69	1.54	1.56	1.81
xG difference	-0.35	-0.06	0.04	-0.46
Finishing vs xG	-0.02	0.21	-0.24	-0.04
xPts / match	1.18	1.32	1.44	1.18
Points vs xPts	-0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.18
Game state
Scored first	44%	62%	52%	54%
PPG when scoring first	2.13	2.10	2.09	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.07	0.00	0.67	0.56
Came back from behind	17%	17%	32%	27%
Leads held	60%	60%	63%	57%
Minutes leading	21%	30%	30%	31%
Minutes level	49%	52%	45%	46%
Minutes trailing	30%	18%	25%	23%
First goal (min)	46	35	37	34
First goal conceded (min)	38	43	42	46
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	58%	52%	50%	45%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	48%	50%	55%	54%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.38	0.44	0.30	0.18
Late goals against	0.44	0.31	0.43	0.50
Style
Possession	46%	45%	44%	42%
Shots	11.4	11.6	12.4	10.5
On target	4.1	4.7	4.3	4.0
Shot conversion	12%	15%	11%	13%
Shots inside box	67%	68%	74%	74%
Big chances created	1.9	2.3	3.1	2.6
Corners	3.6	3.3	5.1	4.0
xG from set plays	35%	40%	38%	35%
Goals from headers	21%	27%	17%	17%
Pressure index	9.7	10.4	12.1	10.1
Dominant minutes	39.8	40.4	46.3	41.1
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	76%	75%
Fouls	11.0	10.8	11.5	10.6
Cards	2.00	2.13	2.20	2.55

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'77

16–30'512

31–45'712

46–60'43

61–75'911

76–90'1315

FSV Mainz 05

0–15'910

16–30'98

31–45'129

46–60'88

61–75'96

76–90'1319

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: against ten men -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0834

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0234

Late push (76+, level)-0.2012

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1710

Game state

When ahead-0.2615

When level-0.0534

When behind-0.0118

10 min after conceding-0.2021

10 min after scoring+0.2319

Situations

With ten men-0.364

Against ten men-0.493

At home-0.1516

Away-0.0218

3 days rest or fewer-0.312

4+ days rest-0.0732

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2313

v mid-tier opponents-0.0912

v bottom-tier opponents+0.173

As favourite+0.027

Evenly matched-0.0712

As underdog-0.1315

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2234

Conceded when ahead+0.3215

Conceded late (76+)+0.0026

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.04

FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.0344

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0244

Late push (76+, level)-0.2519

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2314

Game state

When ahead-0.0126

When level+0.0644

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.2131

10 min after scoring+0.2831

Situations

With ten men+0.065

Against ten men-0.172

At home+0.0222

Away+0.0522

3 days rest or fewer-0.0911

4+ days rest+0.0733

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2511

v mid-tier opponents-0.2713

v bottom-tier opponents+0.258

As favourite+0.0817

Evenly matched+0.2512

As underdog-0.1815

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0844

Conceded when ahead+0.0326

Conceded late (76+)-0.0138

Congested vs rested -0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.03

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	13 38%	1.46	1.85	1.62	1.46	1.33
5-4-1	4 12%	1.0	0.75	2.25	1.22	2.09
4-2-3-1	4 12%	0.75	1.75	2.5	1.51	2.47
4-4-2	4 12%	0.5	0.25	2.0	0.64	1.75
4-3-3	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	1.5	2.2

FSV Mainz 05

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-5-2	22 50%	1.86	1.73	1.27	1.77	1.56
3-4-2-1	10 23%	0.8	1.2	2.1	1.22	1.86
3-1-4-2	4 9%	0.5	0.75	1.5	1.69	1.42
3-4-3	3 7%	2.0	0.67	0.33	1.96	0.57
5-3-2	3 7%	0.67	0.33	0.67	1.35	1.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.2 pts at 3.5h

3.42Home 28% ▼ -3.4 ptsopened 3.043.72Draw 26% · +0.7 ptsopened 3.82.14Away 45% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 2.27

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	3.42 ▼ -3.4	3.72 · +0.7	2.14 ▲ +2.8	10m
bet365	3.25 ▼ -3.2	3.8 · -0.4	2.05 ▲ +3.6	10m
Betfair	3.0 ▼ -4.0	3.75 · -0.0	2.2 ▲ +4.1	10m
BetVictor	3.2 ▼ -3.1	3.8 · -0.5	2.05 ▲ +3.6	10m
Coral	3.2 ▼ -4.1	3.6 ▲ +1.1	2.15 ▲ +3.0	10m
Ladbrokes	3.2 ▼ -4.7	3.6 · +0.8	2.1 ▲ +4.0	10m
Unibet	3.0 ▼ -2.5	3.65 · -0.2	2.12 ▲ +2.7	10m
WilliamHill	3.1 ▼ -2.2	3.5 · +0.1	2.1 ▲ +2.1	10m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 20m · late move: yes -3.8 pts inside the final hour

1.5Yes 62% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.442.5No 38% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 2.62

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.5 ▼ -2.0	2.5 ▲ +2.0	10m
Betfair	1.4 ▲ +2.9	2.8 ▼ -2.9	10m
BetVictor	1.44 · +0.0	2.6 · +0.0	10m
WilliamHill	1.55 ▼ -1.2	2.45 ▲ +1.3	10m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.3 pts at 50m

1.58Over 61% · -0.5 ptsopened 1.572.46Under 39% · +0.5 ptsopened 2.5

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.58 · -0.5	2.46 · +0.5	10m
bet365	1.57 ▼ -1.9	2.37 ▲ +1.9	10m
Betfair	1.47 ▲ +2.6	2.63 ▼ -2.6	10m
BetVictor	1.52 · -0.5	2.31 · +0.5	10m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 28%3.8Draw 25% P 26%2.05Away 46% P 45%

Double Chance

1.66Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 28%1.25Borussia M'gladbach or Mainz 37%1.36Draw or Mainz 34%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.37Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 48%1.9Under 49% P 52%

4.52.2Over 42% P 31%1.61Under 58% P 69%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	28%	28%	34%	+6.0
Draw	26%	26%	22%	-3.6
Away	45%	46%	44%	-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	61%	61%	63%	+1.6

Robert Hartmann

Career: 180 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match: 3.63 (3.49 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match: 22.6 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.31
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.97	4.15	-0.55	30
Fouls / match	22.9	22.3	+0.40
Fouls per card	5.9	5.4	+0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.37	0.33	+0.41	67
Time added	7.0	6.8	+0.09	52

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.37

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-29	5	0	33	0	29'	8
2026-05-16 · FSV Mainz 05	2	0	20	0	70'	6
2026-04-25	3	0	16	1	10'	8
2026-04-04	3	0	27	0	73'	9
2026-03-07	–	–	22	–	–	11
2026-02-14	5	0	20	0	29'	7
2026-01-24	1	0	26	1	59'	9
2026-01-14	4	0	28	0	14'	8
2025-12-14	2	1	17	0	11'	10
2025-11-22	3	0	19	0	34'	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Last 365 days

FSV Mainz 05 · Last 365 days

Absences

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 74

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 39 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

FSV Mainz 05 · 3 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 34 matches

FSV Mainz 05 · 44 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

Robert Hartmann

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 60 matches)

Recent matches