Rating 7.12 (97th pct) · G+A 7 + 9 (18% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– SC FreiburgBMG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| SC Freiburg | at home | Stat | league | away | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.7 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 47.7 #12 |
| 18.0 #5 | – | Shots total | 15.7 | – | 15.0 #10 |
| 6.3 #4 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 3.3 #16 |
| 5.3 #10 | – | Corners | 5.7 | – | 7.0 #5 |
| 10.0 #11 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 15.7 #1 |
| 0.7 #16 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 3.7 #1 |
| 11.0 #17 | – | Tackles | 15.7 | – | 15.7 #6 |
| 93.3 #11 | – | Attacks | 100.5 | – | 85.0 #13 |
| 44.3 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.1 | – | 46.7 #10 |
| 465.7 #7 | – | Passes | 453.6 | – | 392.3 #15 |
| 1.7 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.6 | – | 2.0 #4 |
| 3.0 #1 | – | Assists | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| – #11 | – | Btts | 59.3 | – | – #11 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 24.1 | – | – #10 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 18.5 | – | – #11 |
| 2.1 #7 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #15 |
| 1.3 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.4 #15 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 24.1 | – | – #3 |
| 3.3 #1 | 4.5 | Goals | 1.9 | 0.0 | 1.0 #15 |
| 0.3 #18 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 #1 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #7 |
| 9.0 #11 | – | Interceptions | 10.3 | – | 7.0 #17 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 40.7 | – | – #1 |
| 7.1 #2 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.5 #17 |
| 6.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 4.5 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 9.7 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 10.4 | – | 11.0 #8 |
| 5.0 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 4.7 #11 |
| 8.3 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.3 | – | 4.0 #14 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 40.7 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 27 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
- Home / draw / away
- 52% · 19% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 81%
- Cards / match
- 3.26 (reds 0.07)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Freiburg · Last 365 days
Rating 7.04 (79th pct) · G+A 16 + 5 (24% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.96 ppg with (27) · 1.46 without (24)
Rating 6.99 (77th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (9% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Borussia Mönchengladbach · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 (65th pct) · G+A 2 + 9 (24% of team goals) · 61% of minutes
Team 1.09 ppg with (23) · 1.09 without (11)
Rating 6.89 (65th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (11% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.1 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Rating 6.64 (23th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (13% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Team 1.24 ppg with (29) · 0.2 without (5)
Absences
SC Freiburg
- injury Patrick Osterhage #14 key player midfielder · Muscular problems · 3 missed
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- injury Jens Castrop #5 key player midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 4 missed
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
- Capacity
- 34,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 34,700
Teams
- Coaches
- Julian Schuster · Eugen Polanski
- Position
- 2 · 17
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Richard Hempel
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 26.3° (feels 26.3°)
- Wind
- 1.6
- Humidity
- 41%
Where to watch · 75
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  FC Bayern München |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WDW |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Elversberg |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 7 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | LWD |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWL |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 | LDW |
| 12 |  FC Köln |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 13 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
| 15 |  Paderborn |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 | DLL |
| 16 |  FC Union Berlin |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 | DLL |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 6 | WWW |
| 2 | RB Leipzig |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 6 | WLW |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 | WWW |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WWD |
| 5 | FC Köln |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 6 | FC Bayern München |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | WDW |
| 7 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | LWD |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | LWL |
| 9 | Werder Bremen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | LWD |
| 10 | Elversberg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | WWL |
| 11 | TSG Hoffenheim |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLW |
| 12 | Schalke 04 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | LDW |
| 13 | FC Union Berlin |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | DWL |
| 15 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | LLL |
| 16 | Paderborn |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | DLL |
| 17 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | DLW |
| 18 | Hamburger SV |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | DLW |
| 2 | FC Bayern München |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WDW |
| 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | DWL |
| 4 | FC Augsburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | WWD |
| 5 | Elversberg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WWL |
| 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 7 | SC Freiburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWW |
| 8 | Schalke 04 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDW |
| 9 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 1 | LWD |
| 10 | Werder Bremen |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LWD |
| 11 | Paderborn |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLW |
| 13 | RB Leipzig |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | WLW |
| 14 | FC Köln |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | WLD |
| 15 | FC Union Berlin |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLL |
| 16 | VfB Stuttgart |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LWL |
| 17 | Hamburger SV |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | LLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Freiburg
LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 10.22–3.92 · xPts 9.82
- W
A
Paderborn
1–0
xG 1.28–0.81
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
4–1
xG 1.91–0.66
GER BI
- W
H
Motherwell
4–1
xG 4.15–0.09
UEFA ECL - W
A
Motherwell
3–1
xG 2.62–0.44
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL
WLWWWW 5W 0D 1L · 15 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 16 GA 7 · xG 11.73–5.47 · xPts 11.18
- W
A
Paderborn
1–0
xG 1.28–0.81
GER BI
- W
H
Werder Bremen
4–1
xG 1.91–0.66
GER BI
- W
H
Motherwell
4–1
xG 4.15–0.09
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Motherwell
3–1
xG 2.62–0.44
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Aston Villa
0–3
xG 0.24–1.92
UEFA EL
- W
H
RB Leipzig
4–1
xG 1.52–1.55
GER BI
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.81–8.21 · xPts 2.64
- L
H
Elversberg
3–4
xG 2.73–2.69
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
0–3
xG 1.06–3.87
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
4–0
xG 1.02–1.65
GER BI
WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.81–8.21 · xPts 2.64
- L
H
Elversberg
3–4
xG 2.73–2.69
GER BI
- L
A
RB Leipzig
0–3
xG 1.06–3.87
GER BI
- W
H
TSG Hoffenheim
4–0
xG 1.02–1.65
GER BI
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
62.1%SC Freiburg P 57%20.1%Draw P 23%17.8%Borussia Mönchengladbach P 20%
Over / under 2.5
63.8%Over 2.5 P 65%36.2%Under 2.5 P 35%
Both teams to score
59.3%Yes40.7%No
Expected
- SC Freiburg goals
- 2.19 (0–4)
- Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
- 1.09 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.33 (5–14)
- Cards
- 3.63 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 62.1% / 20.1% / 17.8%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
51.2%SC Freiburg22.9%Draw25.9%Borussia Mönchengladbach
Over / under 2.5
59.0%Over 2.541.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
58.1%Yes41.9%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.477 | 0.216 |
| btts | no | 0.898 | 0.703 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.45 | 0.263 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 33 matches since 2009
Goals 57–34 · 2.76 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
- D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- W SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
- W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- D SC Freiburg 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
- D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 SC Freiburg GER BI · Regular Season
- D SC Freiburg 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
- D SC Freiburg 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Freiburg all · 3 | SC Freiburg at home · 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Freiburg · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.62) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.87
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.625
Early press (0-15, level)+0.185
Game state
When ahead+0.375
When level+0.615
10 min after conceding+0.982
10 min after scoring+0.875
Situations
Against ten men+0.493
At home+0.663
Away+0.582
4+ days rest+0.594
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.202
As favourite+0.625
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.235
Conceded late (76+)-0.324
Congested vs rested +0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level +2.14
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122
Game state
When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463
Situations
Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152
Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 100% | 3.0 | 3.33 | 0.33 | 2.05 | 0.6 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 67% | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 3.28 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 33% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.32 | 2.95 |
| Metric | SC Freiburg all · 10 | SC Freiburg at home · 10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 1 / 2 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 0 / 3 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 2.70 | 2.80 | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 90% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 1.96 | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| xG against / match | 0.99 | 1.23 | 2.15 | 2.19 |
| xG difference | 0.86 | 0.73 | -0.82 | -1.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.85 | 0.84 | -0.13 | -0.42 |
| xPts / match | 1.78 | 1.74 | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.46 | -0.07 | -0.53 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 50% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.63 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 33% | 17% | 12% |
| Leads held | 100% | 88% | 40% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 53% | 25% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 39% | 51% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 8% | 24% | 44% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 28 | 38 | 65 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 56 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 57% | 50% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 67% | 63% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 53% | 50% | 49% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 15.5 | 13.1 | 11.9 |
| On target | 6.1 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 9% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 66% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 34% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 41% | 32% | 8% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 18.0 | 17.5 | 9.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 58.0 | 57.9 | 42.9 | 39.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 10.3 | 11.2 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 0.90 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Freiburg
0–15'12
16–30'91
31–45'23
46–60'42
61–75'52
76–90'62
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–15'30
16–30'26
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'14
76–90'47
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 1.85 | 0.99 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 2.33 | 2.33 | 1.6 | 2.74 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.32 | 2.95 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.77 | 2.3 |
| Metric | SC Freiburg all · 51 | SC Freiburg at home · 26 | Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34 | Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 2.27 | 1.09 | 0.78 |
| W / D / L | 26 / 10 / 15 | 18 / 5 / 3 | 9 / 10 / 15 | 3 / 5 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.73 | 2.27 | 1.32 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.76 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 27% | 35% | 28% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 8% | 32% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 65% | 44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 69% | 59% | 61% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.61 | 2.00 | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.83 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.85 | -0.35 | -0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.27 | -0.02 | -0.21 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.83 | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.44 | -0.09 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 53% | 77% | 44% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.55 | 2.13 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.90 | 1.33 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| Leads held | 81% | 82% | 60% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 21% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 46% | 49% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 16% | 9% | 30% | 40% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 31 | 46 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 51 | 38 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 52% | 58% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 54% | 48% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.35 | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 46% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 15.7 | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.8 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 38% | 35% | 35% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 22% | 21% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 14.9 | 19.7 | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.5 | 59.7 | 39.8 | 39.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 9.6 | 11.0 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.55 | 1.38 | 2.00 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Freiburg
0–15'98
16–30'178
31–45'1610
46–60'1816
61–75'125
76–90'1618
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–15'77
16–30'512
31–45'712
46–60'43
61–75'911
76–90'1315
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Freiburg · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: against ten men +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)+0.1321
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3915
Game state
When ahead+0.1032
When level+0.1851
When behind-0.1727
10 min after conceding-0.2037
10 min after scoring+0.4738
Situations
With ten men-0.313
Against ten men+0.548
At home+0.1626
Away+0.0625
3 days rest or fewer+0.0914
4+ days rest+0.1137
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1813
v mid-tier opponents+0.0415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.189
As favourite+0.3522
Evenly matched+0.0116
As underdog-0.1913
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0351
Conceded when ahead-0.0132
Conceded late (76+)+0.0044
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: against ten men -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0834
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0234
Late push (76+, level)-0.2012
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1710
Game state
When ahead-0.2515
When level-0.0534
When behind-0.0118
10 min after conceding-0.2121
10 min after scoring+0.2319
Situations
With ten men-0.364
Against ten men-0.493
At home-0.1516
Away-0.0218
3 days rest or fewer-0.312
4+ days rest-0.0732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2313
v mid-tier opponents-0.0912
v bottom-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.027
Evenly matched-0.0712
As underdog-0.1315
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2334
Conceded when ahead+0.3215
Conceded late (76+)+0.0026
Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.04
SC Freiburg
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 5 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 94% | 1.71 | 1.67 | 1.21 | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 1.39 | 2.28 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.72 | 0.09 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 38% | 1.46 | 1.85 | 1.62 | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 12% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 2.25 | 1.22 | 2.09 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.75 | 2.5 | 1.51 | 2.47 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 0.25 | 2.0 | 0.64 | 1.75 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.96 | 1.29 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.2 pts at 26.5h
1.7Home 57% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 1.724.26Draw 23% · -0.1 ptsopened 4.224.81Away 20% · -1.0 ptsopened 4.56
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.7 ▲ +1.0 | 4.26 · -0.1 | 4.81 · -1.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +1.7 | 4.2 · -0.4 | 4.75 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 · +0.9 | 4.0 · +0.4 | 4.75 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +1.9 | 4.33 ▼ -1.6 | 4.4 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.65 ▲ +1.9 | 4.2 ▼ -1.0 | 4.6 · -0.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.65 ▲ +1.9 | 4.2 ▼ -1.0 | 4.6 · -0.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 ▲ +1.2 | 3.9 · -0.4 | 4.35 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · +1.0 | 3.9 · +0.0 | 4.4 · -1.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 1.5h
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 1.612.37No 39% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +3.0 | 2.37 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +3.1 | 2.63 ▼ -3.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +1.5 | 2.4 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.56 · +0.8 | 2.3 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 · +0.0 | 2.38 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.1 pts at 30m · late move: under -2.1 pts inside the final hour
1.48Over 65% ▲ +4.5 ptsopened 1.592.78Under 35% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 2.46
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48 ▲ +4.5 | 2.78 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.4 | 2.62 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +5.0 | 2.55 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.43 ▲ +4.5 | 2.55 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.58 ▲ +1.3 | 2.33 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 57% P 57%4.2Draw 23% P 23%4.75Away 20% P 20%
Double Chance
1.18SC Freiburg or Draw 40%1.22SC Freiburg or Borussia M'gladbach 38%2.15Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 22%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 64% P 65%2.62Under 36% P 35%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.1Under 44% P 44%
4.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 60% | +4.1 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 20% | 21% | 18% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Richard Hempel
No career statistics.
Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 7.0 cards, 23.0 fouls per match.