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Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

Momentum

BMGElversberg
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
Capacity
54,057
Surface
grass
Attendance
51,042

Teams

Coaches
Eugen Polanski · Vincent Wagner
Position
18 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Martin Petersen

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
21.2° (feels 20.9°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 119

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 SC Freiburg 3300 1019 9 WWW
2 Borussia Dortmund 3300 826 9 WWW
3 FC Augsburg 3210 936 7 WWD
4 FC Bayern München 3210 725 7 WDW
5 RB Leipzig 3201 936 6 WLW
6 Elversberg 3201 871 6 WWL
7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3111 853 4 LWD
8 FSV Mainz 05 3111 633 4 DWL
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 3111 78-1 4 DLW
10 Werder Bremen 3111 56-1 4 LWD
11 Schalke 04 3111 34-1 4 LDW
12 FC Köln 3111 57-2 4 WLD
13 TSG Hoffenheim 3102 67-1 3 LLW
14 VfB Stuttgart 3102 68-2 3 LWL
15 Paderborn 3012 04-4 1 DLL
16 FC Union Berlin 3012 410-6 1 DLL
17 Borussia Mönchengladbach 3003 312-9 0 LLL
18 Hamburger SV 3003 012-12 0 LLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 3.24–7.57 · xPts 2.05

  • L A RB Leipzig 0–3 xG 1.06–3.87 GER BI
  • W H TSG Hoffenheim 4–0 xG 1.02–1.65 GER BI
  • L A FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.15–2.05 GER BI

Elversberg

W 1W 0D 0L · 3 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 2 · xG 1.27–1.94 · xPts 0.97

  • W H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 xG 1.27–1.94 GER BI

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach 00 draws1 Elversberg

Goals 3–4 · 7.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Borussia Mönchengladbach 00 draws1 Elversberg

Goals 3–4 · 7.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Borussia Mönchengladbach 00 draws1 Elversberg

Goals 3–4 · 7.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 Elversberg GER BI · Regular Season
MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach all · 3Borussia Mönchengladbach at home · 1Elversberg all · 3Elversberg away · 1

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223
Early press (0-15, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163
When behind-0.463
10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222
4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243
Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

Elversberg · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.42

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.193
Early press (0-15, level)-0.333
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.732

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level-0.253
When behind-0.152
10 min after conceding-0.263
10 min after scoring+0.423

Situations

At home-0.422
4+ days rest-0.172

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.422
As underdog-0.193

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.413
Conceded when ahead+0.212
Conceded late (76+)+0.663

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.10

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-12 67%0.01.53.51.93.28
4-4-21 33%0.00.05.00.322.95

Elversberg

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 100%2.02.672.331.672.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 15.5h

1.93Home 50% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 1.874.05Draw 24% · -0.2 ptsopened 4.03.77Away 26% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 4.0
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.93 ▼ -1.44.05 · -0.23.77 ▲ +1.610m
bet3651.9 ▼ -3.43.9 · -0.93.5 ▲ +4.310m
Betfair1.9 · +0.73.8 · -0.44.0 · -0.310m
BetVictor1.9 ▼ -1.14.0 ▼ -1.13.5 ▲ +2.210m
Coral1.85 · -1.04.0 ▼ -1.43.6 ▲ +2.410m
Ladbrokes1.85 · -0.84.0 ▼ -1.73.6 ▲ +2.510m
Unibet1.8 ▼ -1.53.75 · +0.83.95 · +0.710m
WilliamHill1.85 ▼ -2.03.7 · +0.43.6 ▲ +1.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 50%3.9Draw 24% P 24%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.25Borussia M'gladbach or Draw 38%1.25Borussia M'gladbach or Elversberg 38%1.9Draw or Elversberg 25%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 66%2.75Under 34% P 34%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 53%2.1Under 44% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–60% · away 20–30% · 2,462 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%53%56%+3.0
Draw24%25%24%-1.1
Away26%22%20%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

Martin Petersen

Career
91 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.23 (4.05 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
24.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.554.14+0.7478
Fouls / match23.822.3+1.24
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.34 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.32-0.1037
Time added7.86.8+0.9389
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-25 30 240 20'10
2026-04-04 40 193 29'12
2026-03-07 20 171 62'12
2026-02-14 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 50 220 54'9
2026-01-30 50 240 58'7
2026-01-18 50 250 53'14
2025-12-13 40 261 29'7
2025-11-23 30 120 19'9
2025-10-25 60 261 24'12
2025-09-27 80 240 21'18