RB Leipzig v Borussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

3–0

Borussia MönchengladbachBMG

Momentum

– RB LeipzigBMG –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

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Stats

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Season context

RB Leipzig	at home	Stat	league	away	Borussia Mönchengladbach
60.7 #3	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	47.7 #12
21.0 #3	–	Shots total	15.7	–	15.0 #10
7.3 #2	–	Shots on target	5.4	–	3.3 #16
7.0 #5	–	Corners	5.7	–	7.0 #5
9.7 #14	–	Fouls	11.2	–	15.7 #1
0.3 #17	–	Offsides	1.6	–	3.7 #1
10.7 #18	–	Tackles	15.7	–	15.7 #6
130.7 #2	–	Attacks	100.5	–	85.0 #13
58.7 #7	–	Dangerous attacks	51.1	–	46.7 #10
581.0 #3	–	Passes	453.6	–	392.3 #15
0.7 #18	–	Yellowcards	1.6	–	2.0 #4
2.7 #2	–	Assists	1.8	–	1.0 #12
– #11	–	Btts	59.3	–	– #11
– #1	–	Cleansheet	24.1	–	– #10
– #11	–	Draw	18.5	–	– #11
2.4 #2	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	1.4 #15
0.6 #6	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	-0.4 #15
– #8	–	Failed to score	24.1	–	– #3
3.0 #2	4.0	Goals	1.9	0.0	1.0 #15
1.0 #13	0.0	Goals conceded	1.9	4.0	4.0 #1
0.3 #7	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.3 #7
6.7 #18	–	Interceptions	10.3	–	7.0 #17
– #7	–	Lost	40.7	–	– #1
7.1 #4	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.5 #17
5.0 #5	–	Shots blocked	4.5	–	7.0 #3
15.0 #2	–	Shots insidebox	10.4	–	11.0 #8
8.7 #2	–	Shots off target	5.8	–	4.7 #11
6.0 #5	–	Shots outsidebox	5.3	–	4.0 #14
– #3	–	Win	40.7	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 27 of 306
Goals / match: 3.85 (home 2.37 · away 1.48)
Home / draw / away: 52% · 19% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 59% · 81%
Cards / match: 3.26 (reds 0.07)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

RB Leipzig · Last 365 days

David Raum 22 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.4 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 6 (12% of team goals) · 84% of minutes

Team 1.93 ppg with (30) · 1.4 without (5)

Christoph Baumgartner 14 · Attacking Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 7.15 (87th pct) · G+A 12 + 9 (29% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Team 1.97 ppg with (30) · 1.2 without (5)

Willi Orbán 4 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 7.18 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (4% of team goals) · 97% of minutes

All key players

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Last 365 days

Franck Honorat 9 · Right Wing

On the bench

Rating 6.91 (65th pct) · G+A 2 + 9 (24% of team goals) · 61% of minutes

Team 1.09 ppg with (23) · 1.09 without (11)

Kevin Diks 4 · Centre Back

Starts

Rating 6.89 (65th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (11% of team goals) · 83% of minutes

Team 1.1 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)

Joe Scally 29 · Right Back

On the bench

Rating 6.64 (23th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (13% of team goals) · 86% of minutes

Team 1.24 ppg with (29) · 0.2 without (5)

All key players

Absences

RB Leipzig

injury Assan Ouédraogo #7 key player midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 3 missed
injury Lukas Klostermann #21 key player defender · Groin Problems · 3 missed
injury Rômulo #5 key player attacker · Knee Problems · 2 missed
injury Ørjan Nyland goalkeeper · Foot Injury · 1 missed

Borussia Mönchengladbach

injury Fabio Chiarodia #13 key player defender · Fitness
injury Jens Castrop #5 key player midfielder · Shoulder Injury · 2 missed
injury Tomas Cvancara attacker · Fitness · 4 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 1

Venue

Stadium: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Capacity: 47,069
Surface: grass
Attendance: 47,800

Teams

Coaches: Martín Demichelis · Eugen Polanski
Position: 5 · 7
Formation: 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 25.0° (feels 24.7°)
Wind: 8.2
Humidity: 45%

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2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	3	3	0	0	10	1	9	9	WWW
2	Borussia Dortmund	3	3	0	0	8	2	6	9	WWW
3	FC Augsburg	3	2	1	0	9	3	6	7	WWD
4	FC Bayern München	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7	WDW
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	9	3	6	6	WLW
6	Elversberg	3	2	0	1	8	7	1	6	WWL
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	8	5	3	4	LWD
8	FSV Mainz 05	3	1	1	1	6	3	3	4	DWL
9	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	4	DLW
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4	LWD
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	3	4	-1	4	LDW
12	FC Köln	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4	WLD
13	TSG Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	6	7	-1	3	LLW
14	VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	6	8	-2	3	LWL
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	0	4	-4	1	DLL
16	FC Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1	DLL
17	Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	3	12	-9	0	LLL
18	Hamburger SV	3	0	0	3	0	12	-12	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	9	1	8	6	WWW
2	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	6	WLW
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	0	5	6	WWW
4	FC Augsburg	2	1	1	0	5	2	3	4	WWD
5	FC Köln	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	WLD
6	FC Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	1	4	3	WDW
7	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	4	0	4	3	LWD
8	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	LWL
9	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	LWD
10	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	WWL
11	TSG Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3	LLW
12	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	LDW
13	FC Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	4	6	-2	1	DLL
14	FSV Mainz 05	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1	DWL
15	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1	0	0	1	3	4	-1	0	LLL
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0	DLL
17	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	DLW
18	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0	LLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	6	4	2	4	DLW
2	FC Bayern München	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	WDW
3	FSV Mainz 05	1	1	0	0	5	0	5	3	DWL
4	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	4	1	3	3	WWD
5	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	4	3	1	3	WWL
6	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	1	3	WWW
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	WWW
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	3	4	-1	3	LDW
9	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4	5	-1	1	LWD
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	2	5	-3	1	LWD
11	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1	DLL
12	TSG Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0	LLW
13	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0	WLW
14	FC Köln	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0	WLD
15	FC Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0	DLL
16	VfB Stuttgart	2	0	0	2	2	7	-5	0	LWL
17	Hamburger SV	2	0	0	2	0	7	-7	0	LLL
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	0	8	-8	0	LLL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

RB Leipzig

LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 4.81–5.28 · xPts 4.18

L A SC Freiburg 1–4 xG 1.55–1.52 GER BI
W H St. Pauli 2–1 xG 2.23–0.65 GER BI
L A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–4 xG 1.03–3.12 GER BI

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 4.72–4.42 · xPts 4.24

W H TSG Hoffenheim 4–0 xG 1.02–1.65 GER BI
L A FC Augsburg 1–3 xG 1.15–2.05 GER BI
W H Borussia Dortmund 1–0 xG 2.55–0.72 GER BI

All meetings · 21 matches since 2016

RB Leipzig 125 draws4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 33–19 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

RB Leipzig 52 draws3 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 11–7 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 10% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

RB Leipzig 22 draws1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goals 4–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

W RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
W RB Leipzig 1–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
D Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
D RB Leipzig 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
W RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach neutral GER BI · Regular Season
W Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
W RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach GER BI · Regular Season
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season
L Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 RB Leipzig GER BI · Regular Season

Metric	RB Leipzig all · 3	RB Leipzig at home · 2	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 3	Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254

Early press (0-15, level)-0.504

Late chase (76+, behind)+1.252

Game state

When ahead+0.232

When level-0.504

When behind+0.572

10 min after conceding+0.082

10 min after scoring+0.404

Situations

At home+0.002

Away+0.452

4+ days rest+0.383

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.002

As favourite+0.303

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.214

Conceded when ahead-0.132

Conceded late (76+)-0.672

Congested vs rested -0.55 · Ahead vs level +0.73 · Behind vs level +1.06

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.223

Early press (0-15, level)+0.203

Late chase (76+, behind)-1.122

Game state

When level+0.163

When behind-0.463

10 min after conceding-0.463

Situations

Away-0.222

4+ days rest-0.223

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.222

As underdog-0.222

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.243

Conceded late (76+)+0.152

Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level -0.62

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	3 100%	2.0	3.0	1.0	2.47	0.87

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	2 67%	0.0	1.5	3.5	1.9	3.28
4-4-2	1 33%	0.0	0.0	5.0	0.32	2.95

Metric	RB Leipzig all · 10	RB Leipzig at home · 10	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 10	Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	1.80	2.30	0.90	0.30
W / D / L	6 / 0 / 4	7 / 2 / 1	2 / 3 / 5	0 / 3 / 7
Goals for / match	2.10	2.60	1.20	0.70
Goals against / match	1.80	0.90	1.90	2.50
Clean sheets	30%	40%	30%	10%
Failed to score	0%	0%	40%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	60%	40%	50%
Over 2.5	90%	90%	60%	70%
Expected goals
xG for / match	2.17	2.57	1.33	1.12
xG against / match	1.32	1.30	2.15	2.19
xG difference	0.85	1.27	-0.82	-1.07
Finishing vs xG	-0.07	0.03	-0.13	-0.42
xPts / match	1.85	2.08	0.97	0.83
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.22	-0.07	-0.53
Game state
Scored first	60%	80%	50%	20%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.38	1.60	1.00
PPG when conceding first	0.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
Came back from behind	0%	67%	17%	12%
Leads held	100%	78%	40%	0%
Minutes leading	32%	45%	25%	6%
Minutes level	36%	43%	51%	50%
Minutes trailing	32%	12%	24%	44%
First goal (min)	48	41	38	65
First goal conceded (min)	38	58	42	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	62%	50%	50%	71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	56%	78%	63%	52%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.50	0.60	0.40	0.30
Late goals against	0.60	0.40	0.70	0.70
Style
Possession	57%	60%	50%	49%
Shots	18.1	18.0	13.1	11.9
On target	7.1	7.7	4.0	2.8
Shot conversion	12%	14%	9%	6%
Shots inside box	70%	76%	67%	67%
Big chances created	3.8	4.6	1.8	1.3
Corners	6.1	6.2	3.7	3.7
xG from set plays	20%	22%	29%	30%
Goals from headers	14%	12%	8%	14%
Pressure index	18.0	18.7	9.9	7.5
Dominant minutes	60.2	66.2	42.9	39.2
Pass accuracy	87%	86%	82%	82%
Fouls	8.5	7.8	11.2	10.8
Cards	1.70	1.40	3.20	2.10

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

0–15'02

16–30'63

31–45'23

46–60'32

61–75'52

76–90'56

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'30

16–30'26

31–45'11

46–60'11

61–75'14

76–90'47

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	8 80%	1.88	2.13	1.63	2.25	1.25
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	1.0	2.53	1.26
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.19	1.94

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	3 30%	1.0	2.33	2.33	1.6	2.74
4-3-3	2 20%	0.0	0.5	2.0	1.5	2.2
3-1-4-2	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.75	1.64
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	5.0	0.32	2.95
5-4-1	1 10%	3.0	1.0	0.0	2.55	0.72

Metric	RB Leipzig all · 35	RB Leipzig at home · 18	Borussia Mönchengladbach all · 34	Borussia Mönchengladbach away · 18
Results
Matches	35	18	34	18
Points per game	1.86	2.28	1.09	0.78
W / D / L	20 / 5 / 10	13 / 2 / 3	9 / 10 / 15	3 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match	2.09	2.56	1.32	1.00
Goals against / match	1.37	1.11	1.76	2.00
Clean sheets	31%	39%	35%	28%
Failed to score	6%	0%	32%	39%
Both teams scored	66%	61%	44%	44%
Over 2.5	77%	83%	59%	61%
Expected goals
xG for / match	2.12	2.48	1.34	1.21
xG against / match	1.39	1.41	1.69	1.83
xG difference	0.73	1.08	-0.35	-0.62
Finishing vs xG	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	-0.21
xPts / match	1.80	1.99	1.18	1.05
Points vs xPts	0.06	0.29	-0.09	-0.27
Game state
Scored first	71%	89%	44%	28%
PPG when scoring first	2.28	2.31	2.13	2.20
PPG when conceding first	0.78	2.00	0.07	0.09
Came back from behind	23%	40%	17%	17%
Leads held	74%	76%	60%	60%
Minutes leading	37%	46%	21%	13%
Minutes level	44%	44%	49%	47%
Minutes trailing	19%	11%	30%	40%
First goal (min)	39	38	46	58
First goal conceded (min)	45	52	38	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	53%	52%	58%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	65%	75%	48%	47%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.31	0.44	0.38	0.33
Late goals against	0.46	0.44	0.44	0.56
Style
Possession	55%	55%	46%	47%
Shots	16.1	17.7	11.4	11.3
On target	6.3	7.6	4.1	3.5
Shot conversion	13%	14%	12%	9%
Shots inside box	72%	76%	67%	67%
Big chances created	3.7	4.6	1.9	1.6
Corners	5.5	6.1	3.6	3.9
xG from set plays	23%	25%	35%	29%
Goals from headers	14%	16%	21%	12%
Pressure index	16.7	19.4	9.7	9.0
Dominant minutes	56.2	59.8	39.8	39.3
Pass accuracy	85%	85%	81%	81%
Fouls	9.2	8.4	11.0	11.3
Cards	1.54	1.28	2.00	1.89

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

0–15'72

16–30'147

31–45'138

46–60'1410

61–75'145

76–90'1116

Borussia Mönchengladbach

0–15'77

16–30'512

31–45'712

46–60'43

61–75'911

76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 35 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.2535

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1735

Late push (76+, level)+0.066

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1911

Game state

When ahead+0.1827

When level+0.2835

When behind+0.3013

10 min after conceding-0.1024

10 min after scoring+0.3533

Situations

At home+0.2618

Away+0.2417

3 days rest or fewer+0.273

4+ days rest+0.2532

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.1310

v mid-tier opponents+0.1712

v bottom-tier opponents+0.278

As favourite+0.3424

Evenly matched+0.168

As underdog-0.133

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1335

Conceded when ahead-0.2327

Conceded late (76+)-0.3628

Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level +0.02

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: against ten men -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0834

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0234

Late push (76+, level)-0.2012

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1710

Game state

When ahead-0.2515

When level-0.0534

When behind-0.0118

10 min after conceding-0.2121

10 min after scoring+0.2319

Situations

With ten men-0.364

Against ten men-0.493

At home-0.1516

Away-0.0218

3 days rest or fewer-0.312

4+ days rest-0.0732

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2313

v mid-tier opponents-0.0912

v bottom-tier opponents+0.173

As favourite+0.027

Evenly matched-0.0712

As underdog-0.1315

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2334

Conceded when ahead+0.3215

Conceded late (76+)+0.0026

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.04

RB Leipzig

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	31 89%	1.9	2.1	1.29	2.1	1.35
4-4-1-1	1 3%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.92	2.0
4-2-3-1	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	3.5	1.49
4-1-4-1	1 3%	3.0	3.0	1.0	2.53	1.26
4-4-2	1 3%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.19	1.94

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	13 38%	1.46	1.85	1.62	1.46	1.33
4-4-2	4 12%	0.5	0.25	2.0	0.64	1.75
4-2-3-1	4 12%	0.75	1.75	2.5	1.51	2.47
5-4-1	4 12%	1.0	0.75	2.25	1.22	2.09
3-5-2	2 6%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.96	1.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 3.0d

1.58Home 61% · -0.8 ptsopened 1.554.52Draw 21% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 4.735.68Away 17% · -0.3 ptsopened 5.53

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	1.58 · -0.8	4.52 ▲ +1.1	5.68 · -0.3	30m
bet365	1.55 · +0.4	4.5 ▼ -1.3	5.25 · +0.9	30m
Betfair	1.55 ▼ -2.1	4.33 · +0.8	5.0 ▲ +1.3	30m
BetVictor	1.53 · +0.6	4.5 · -0.2	5.25 · -0.4	30m
Coral	1.57 · -0.9	4.6 · -0.0	5.0 · +0.9	30m
Ladbrokes	1.55 · +0.0	4.6 · +0.0	5.0 · +0.0	30m
Unibet	1.53 · -0.3	4.3 · +0.4	5.3 · -0.1	30m
WilliamHill	1.55 · +0.0	4.33 · +0.0	5.0 · +0.0	30m

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -1.9 pts at 2.6d

1.57Yes 59% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 1.532.25No 41% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 2.37

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.57 ▼ -1.9	2.25 ▲ +1.9	30m
Betfair	1.5 ▲ +1.6	2.5 ▼ -1.6	30m
BetVictor	1.5 · +0.0	2.4 · +0.0	30m
Unibet	1.54 · -0.5	2.35 · +0.5	30m
WilliamHill	1.55 · +0.0	2.4 · +0.0	30m

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.7 pts at 3.0d

1.48Over 65% · -0.2 ptsopened 1.472.71Under 35% · +0.2 ptsopened 2.72

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.48 · -0.2	2.71 · +0.2	30m
bet365	1.44 · +0.0	2.75 · +0.0	30m
Betfair	1.4 · +0.0	2.75 · +0.0	30m
BetVictor	1.44 · +0.0	2.53 · +0.0	30m
Unibet	1.47 · -0.6	2.65 · +0.6	30m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 61% P 61%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.25Away 18% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14RB Leipzig or Draw 41%1.18RB Leipzig or Borussia M'gladbach 39%2.37Draw or Borussia M'gladbach 20%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 64%2.25Under 41% P 36%

3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	61%	61%	62%	+0.4
Draw	21%	23%	23%	+0.7
Away	17%	16%	15%	-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	65%	64%	63%	-0.4

Sven Jablonski

Career: 115 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match: 3.53 (3.45 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match: 22.7 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.22
Cards to home side: 46%

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.78	4.14	-0.96	15
Fouls / match	20.6	22.3	-1.67
Fouls per card	5.5	5.4	+0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.23	0.32	-1.08	18
Time added	6.2	6.8	-0.75	15

First card: 34' on average
Card timing: 21% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.22

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-18	3	26	0	37'	5
2026-05-10	4	17	0	30'	8
2026-04-24 · RB Leipzig	2	16	0	34'	6
2026-04-16	8	36	0	24'	7
2026-04-12	3	24	1	24'	5
2026-03-20 · RB Leipzig	2	24	0	14'	10
2026-03-15	2	25	0	17'	15
2026-03-12	5	31	0	13'	5
2026-02-28	1	25	1	20'	11
2026-02-19	4	30	0	37'	12

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

RB Leipzig · Last 365 days

Borussia Mönchengladbach · Last 365 days

Absences

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 110

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

All meetings · 21 matches since 2016

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 4 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3 matches

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

RB Leipzig · 35 matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach · 34 matches

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

Sven Jablonski

Style in Bundesliga (5-year window · 77 matches)

Recent matches