Rating 7.67 (98th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (40% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– PortoBenfica –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Porto | at home | Stat | league | away | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.8 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 65.0 #1 |
| 15.2 #3 | – | Shots total | 12.2 | – | 20.3 #1 |
| 6.0 #3 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 7.8 #1 |
| 7.5 #2 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 8.0 #1 |
| 13.2 #8 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 12.7 #10 |
| 2.5 #2 | – | Offsides | 1.2 | – | 1.7 #3 |
| 13.8 #16 | – | Tackles | 15.9 | – | 14.3 #14 |
| 98.3 #7 | – | Attacks | 92.9 | – | 129.3 #1 |
| 47.8 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 40.6 | – | 73.8 #1 |
| 443.0 #7 | – | Passes | 430.4 | – | 586.7 #2 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.5 #15 |
| 1.8 #2 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| – #12 | – | Btts | 48.9 | – | – #7 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 28.7 | – | – #3 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 26.3 | – | – #10 |
| 2.4 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 2.6 #1 |
| 0.1 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 0.9 #1 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 28.1 | – | – #13 |
| 2.5 #2 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 4.7 | 3.5 #1 |
| 0.3 #18 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 #16 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 7.7 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.8 #9 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 36.7 | – | – #14 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #3 |
| 6.9 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 4.2 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 2.9 | – | 5.3 #1 |
| 10.5 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.7 | – | 15.0 #1 |
| 5.0 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.2 | – | 7.2 #2 |
| 4.7 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.3 #2 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #2 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 50 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.74 (home 1.32 · away 1.42)
- Home / draw / away
- 40% · 26% · 34%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.26 (reds 0.1)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Porto · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.17 (95th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (27% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Benfica · 2026/2027 · Liga Portugal
Rating 8.3 (100th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Rating 7.56 (100th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.89 (100th pct) · G+A 8 + 2 (48% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
- Capacity
- 50,033
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Francesco Farioli · Marco Da Silva
- Position
- 1 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Weather
- Conditions
- sky is clear
- Temperature
- 29.9° (feels 28.5°)
- Wind
- 4.2
- Humidity
- 27%
Where to watch · 1
Portugal
Sport TV Multiscreen
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 14 | WWWWD |
| 4 |  Santa Clara |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 14 | WWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Estrela Amadora |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 7 |  Sporting Braga |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | LDLWW |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 | WWDLL |
| 10 |  Marítimo |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 11 |  Moreirense |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Alverca |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Famalicão |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LLDDD |
| 14 |  Vitória Guimarães |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Estoril |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  Casa Pia |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Benfica |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 5 | Arouca |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | WLWDL |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWDLL |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Nacional |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 13 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Alverca |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 16 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Rio Ave |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LWLLD |
| 18 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Porto |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Santa Clara |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Sporting CP |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Estrela Amadora |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | DWDWD |
| 6 | Academico Viseu |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Sporting Braga |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Arouca |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Alverca |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | DLDLW |
| 10 | Marítimo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | WDLLL |
| 11 | Rio Ave |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 13 | Famalicão |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LLDDD |
| 14 | Gil Vicente |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | WWDLL |
| 15 | Nacional |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Casa Pia |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 | LLLDL |
| 17 | Vitória Guimarães |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 0 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Porto
WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 10.15–6.5 · xPts 8.76
- W
A
Casa Pia
4–1
xG 2.74–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–2
xG 0.3–2.27
UEFA CL - W
H
Moreirense
2–1
xG 3.26–0.81
PRT PL
- W
A
Academico Viseu
3–0
xG 1.14–1.32
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
2–0
xG 2.72–0.45
PRT PL
WWWWWLW 6W 0D 1L · 18 pts (2.57 ppg) · GF 15 GA 4 · xG 14.6–8.88 · xPts 12.82
- W
A
Casa Pia
4–1
xG 2.74–1.66
PRT PL
- L
H
Manchester City
0–2
xG 0.3–2.27
UEFA CL
- W
H
Moreirense
2–1
xG 3.26–0.81
PRT PL
- W
A
Academico Viseu
3–0
xG 1.14–1.32
PRT PL
- W
H
Arouca
2–0
xG 2.72–0.45
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
2–0
xG 1.99–0.78
PRT PL
- W
H
Alverca
2–0
xG 2.45–1.6
PRT PL
Benfica
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 2 · xG 10.2–3.13 · xPts 11.07
- W
A
AC Milan
2–0
xG 0.87–1.3
UEFA EL - W
H
Gil Vicente
3–1
xG 2.89–0.93
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
4–0
xG 3.1–0.4
PRT PL
- W
A
Marítimo
3–0
xG 1.37–0.17
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
2–1
xG 1.96–0.34
PRT PL
DDWWWWWWWW 8W 2D 0L · 26 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 30 GA 7 · xG 23.91–6.03 · xPts 23.3
- W
A
AC Milan
2–0
xG 0.87–1.3
UEFA EL
- W
H
Gil Vicente
3–1
xG 2.89–0.93
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
4–0
xG 3.1–0.4
PRT PL
- W
A
Marítimo
3–0
xG 1.37–0.17
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
2–1
xG 1.96–0.34
PRT PL
- W
A
AGF
3–1
xG 1.61–0.56
UEFA EL - W
H
AGF
3–1
xG 5.04–0.46
UEFA EL
- W
A
Casa Pia
7–0
xG 2.4–0.26
PRT PL
- D
A
Hearts
1–1
xG 1.39–0.66
UEFA EL - D
H
Academico Viseu
2–2
xG 3.27–0.97
PRT PL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: João Pedro Silva Pinheiro · 6 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 15–14 · Porto hosting: 2W 1D 2L · Benfica hosting: 2W 1D 2L
At Estádio Do Dragão: 5 meetings · Porto 2 · draws 1 · Benfica 2 · 3.0 goals per match · last away win Apr 2025
All-time since 2005: 42 meetings · Porto 18 · draws 13 · Benfica 11
- Porto haven't beaten Benfica since Mar 2024
- Benfica unbeaten in the last 4 meetings
- Last 2 meetings all drawn
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.90 | 2.71 | +0.19 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 49% | +1% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 55% | +5% | 10 |
| Corners | 8.7 | 9.4 | -0.7 | 10 |
| Cards | 9.1 | 5.2 | +3.9 | 10 |
1 goalless · 5 with 4+ goals · 1.20 first-half goals per match · red card in 5
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Porto | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 4 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 3 | 4 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 37 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 5
When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings
0-15'3
16-30'2
31-45'7
46-60'4
61-75'7
76-90'6
3 equalisers · 1 own goal · 2 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Porto 1 · level 1 · Benfica 2 — actual wins in those games 0 / 2
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 6 (60%), drew 2, upset 2 · market favoured Porto 5×, Benfica 5× · avg favourite 47%, avg price of the actual result 39%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Vangelis Pavlidis Benfica · last Apr 2025
- 3 Ángel Di María Benfica · in 2 games · last Nov 2024
- 2 Samu Aghehowa Porto · in 2 games · last Apr 2025
- 2 Wenderson Galeno Porto · last Mar 2024
- 2 Pepê Porto · in 2 games · last Mar 2024
Last meeting · 2026-03-08 · PRT PL
Benfica 2-2 Porto · ref João Pedro Silva Pinheiro
- 10' Victor Froholdt 0–1
- 40' Oskar Pietuszewski assist Gabri Veiga 0–2
- 69' Andreas Schjelderup 1–2
- 88' Leandro Barreiro assist Franjo Ivanović 2–2
xG 1.76 – 2.16 · corners 10 · cards 11 · reds 1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
34.3%Porto P 35%27.3%Draw P 28%38.4%Benfica P 36%
Over / under 2.5
46.2%Over 2.5 P 51%53.8%Under 2.5 P 49%
Both teams to score
51.6%Yes48.4%No
Expected
- Porto goals
- 1.22 (0–3)
- Benfica goals
- 1.3 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.91 (5–13)
- Cards
- 3.88 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
36.3%Porto26.3%Draw37.5%Benfica
Over / under 2.5
51.1%Over 2.548.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.2%Yes46.8%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 42 matches since 2005
Goals 59–47 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 43%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D Benfica 2–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Porto 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 1–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 4–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 5–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Benfica 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Benfica 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Porto 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Benfica 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Porto 3–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Porto all · 6 | Porto at home · 3 | Benfica all · 6 | Benfica away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 3.00 | – | 2.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 6 / 0 / 0 | – | 5 / 1 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | – | 3.50 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.33 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Clean sheets | 67% | – | 50% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.38 | – | 2.50 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.10 | – | 0.51 | – |
| xG difference | 1.28 | – | 1.99 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | – | 1.00 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.09 | – | 2.54 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.91 | – | 0.12 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | 83% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.60 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 83% | – |
| Minutes leading | 61% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes level | 35% | – | 36% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 4% | – | 4% | – |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | 22 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | – | 48 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | – | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 0% | – | 75% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | – | 65% | – |
| Shots | 15.3 | – | 20.3 | – |
| On target | 6.2 | – | 7.8 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 17% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 74% | – |
| Big chances created | 4.2 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Corners | 7.5 | – | 8.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 41% | – | 31% | – |
| Goals from headers | 21% | – | 5% | – |
| Pressure index | 19.2 | – | 24.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 61.8 | – | 75.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | – | 88% | – |
| Fouls | 13.2 | – | 13.0 | – |
| Cards | 0.67 | – | 1.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'11
31–45'41
46–60'20
61–75'20
76–90'30
Benfica
0–15'41
16–30'10
31–45'20
46–60'81
61–75'31
76–90'31
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717
Game state
When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616
Situations
At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016
Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61
Benfica · 13 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122
Game state
When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 100% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.33 | 2.38 | 1.1 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.67 | 3.5 | 0.67 | 2.5 | 0.51 |
| Metric | Porto all · 10 | Porto at home · 10 | Benfica all · 10 | Benfica away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 2 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 30% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.96 | 1.85 | 2.39 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.07 | 0.60 | 1.04 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 0.78 | 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.35 | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| xPts / match | 1.86 | 1.79 | 2.33 | 1.97 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.27 | 0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 100% | 78% | 89% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 38% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 56% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 37 | 25 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 34 | 53 | 67 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 67% | 71% | 88% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 52% | 62% | 55% |
| Shots | 14.4 | 14.4 | 20.0 | 15.3 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 15% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 74% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 6.7 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 32% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 13% | 4% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 16.3 | 16.0 | 22.9 | 16.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.6 | 57.3 | 71.4 | 55.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 12.1 | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'30
16–30'12
31–45'51
46–60'32
61–75'30
76–90'32
Benfica
0–15'51
16–30'30
31–45'41
46–60'102
61–75'41
76–90'42
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.96 | 1.09 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 0.63 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| Metric | Porto all · 48 | Porto at home · 24 | Benfica all · 52 | Benfica away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 24 | 52 | 27 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.54 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 36 / 7 / 5 | 19 / 4 / 1 | 33 / 12 / 7 | 16 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.81 | 1.83 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 0.65 | 0.54 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 54% | 36% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 8% | 8% | 14% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 42% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% | 69% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 1.93 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| xG against / match | 0.86 | 0.79 | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| xG difference | 0.99 | 1.15 | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.04 | -0.10 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.97 | 2.03 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.43 | 0.51 | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 73% | 83% | 69% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.77 | 2.70 | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.42 | 2.00 | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 58% | 67% | 59% | 44% |
| Leads held | 90% | 86% | 80% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 49% | 47% | 40% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 47% | 43% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | 4% | 10% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 30 | 29 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 48 | 47 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 69% | 62% | 70% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 14.4 | 17.3 | 15.5 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.3 | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 5.6 | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 30% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 9% | 15% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 20.0 | 21.1 | 20.4 | 18.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.4 | 60.9 | 63.1 | 56.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 13.0 | 13.0 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 2.19 | 1.75 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Porto
0–15'145
16–30'114
31–45'174
46–60'147
61–75'142
76–90'179
Benfica
0–15'185
16–30'205
31–45'187
46–60'259
61–75'138
76–90'2411
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Porto · 48 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4748
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076
Game state
When ahead+0.4439
When level+0.4947
When behind+0.5012
10 min after conceding+0.2622
10 min after scoring+0.9043
Situations
With ten men+0.404
Against ten men+0.616
At home+0.4124
Away+0.5424
3 days rest or fewer+0.249
4+ days rest+0.5339
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1711
v mid-tier opponents+0.517
v bottom-tier opponents+0.7216
As favourite+0.6140
Evenly matched-0.065
As underdog-0.323
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1348
Conceded when ahead-0.0539
Conceded late (76+)-0.2743
Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.01
Benfica · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4852
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3152
Late push (76+, level)+0.7719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0311
Game state
When ahead+0.3841
When level+0.6252
When behind+0.2217
10 min after conceding+0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.7145
Situations
With ten men-0.154
Against ten men+0.295
At home+0.4925
Away+0.4627
3 days rest or fewer+0.356
4+ days rest+0.4946
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0615
v mid-tier opponents+0.388
v bottom-tier opponents+0.9613
As favourite+0.6641
Evenly matched-0.044
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1952
Conceded when ahead-0.1641
Conceded late (76+)-0.3842
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.41
Porto
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 48 100% | 2.4 | 1.81 | 0.65 | 1.85 | 0.86 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 46 88% | 2.2 | 2.35 | 0.83 | 2.18 | 0.87 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 0.5 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 2.34 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 75 snapshots · last 45.5h before kick-off
2.71Home 35% · +0.3 ptsopened 2.733.35Draw 28% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.412.62Away 36% · -0.8 ptsopened 2.56
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.71 · +0.3 | 3.35 · +0.5 | 2.62 · -0.8 | 45.5h |
| bet365 | 2.7 · -0.6 | 3.3 · +0.6 | 2.55 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
| Betfair | 2.7 · +0.2 | 3.3 ▲ +1.8 | 2.6 ▼ -2.0 | 45.5h |
| BetVictor | 2.6 · -0.7 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 2.45 · +0.7 | 45.5h |
| Coral | 2.75 · -0.7 | 3.5 · -0.0 | 2.45 · +0.7 | 45.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.75 · -0.7 | 3.4 · -0.0 | 2.45 · +0.7 | 45.5h |
| WilliamHill | 2.62 · +0.7 | 3.25 · -0.3 | 2.5 · -0.4 | 45.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 75 snapshots · last 45.5h before kick-off
1.66Yes 56% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.662.1No 44% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
| Betfair | 1.62 · +1.0 | 2.25 · -1.0 | 45.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 75 snapshots · last 45.5h before kick-off
1.88Over 51% · +0.1 ptsopened 1.881.96Under 49% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 · +0.1 | 1.96 · -0.1 | 45.5h |
| bet365 | 1.85 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -2.3 | 1.9 ▲ +2.3 | 45.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.87 · +0.0 | 45.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 45.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 36%
Double Chance
1.5FC Porto or Draw 32%1.33FC Porto or Benfica 36%1.44Draw or Benfica 33%
Draw No Bet
1.91 49%1.82 51%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.85Over 51% P 51%1.95Under 49% P 49%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 36% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |