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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 6

Momentum

BenficaGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
62,455

Teams

Coaches
Marco Da Silva · Luís Correia Pinto
Position
2 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
29.6° (feels 29.1°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
39%

Where to watch · 2

  • Greece MagentaSport 2
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 3 · xG 13.09–1.91 · xPts 12.66

  • W A Moreirense 4–0 xG 3.1–0.4 PRT PL
  • W A Marítimo 3–0 xG 1.37–0.17 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 2–1 xG 1.96–0.34 PRT PL
  • W A AGF 3–1 xG 1.61–0.56 UEFA EL
  • W H AGF 3–1 xG 5.04–0.46 UEFA EL

Gil Vicente

LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 6.87–3.3 · xPts 9.08

  • L H Academico Viseu 0–1 xG 2.41–0.33 PRT PL
  • D A Famalicão 0–0 xG 0.31–0.37 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–0 xG 1.66–0.8 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 1–0 xG 1.63–0.18 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.86–1.62 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

65.2%Benfica P 86%22.0%Draw P 10%12.8%Gil Vicente P 5%

Over / under 2.5

46.3%Over 2.5 P 69%53.7%Under 2.5 P 31%

Both teams to score

41.7%Yes58.3%No

Expected

Benfica goals
1.85 (0–4)
Gil Vicente goals
0.68 (0–2)
Corners
8.73 (5–13)
Cards
4.02 (1–7)

Earlier: day before — 65.2% / 22.0% / 12.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

70.8%Benfica20.2%Draw9.0%Gil Vicente

Over / under 2.5

50.8%Over 2.549.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

40.5%Yes59.5%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.4270.186
ou_2_5over0.7690.576
bttsyes0.8760.681

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 25 matches since 2005

Benfica 202 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 60–19 · 3.16 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 68%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 90 draws1 Gil Vicente

Goals 27–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 50 draws0 Gil Vicente

Goals 15–4 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 2–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 5–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 2–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 1–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 6Benfica at home · 3Gil Vicente all · 5Gil Vicente away · 2
Results
Matches65
Points per game2.671.40
W / D / L5 / 1 / 02 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match3.500.80
Goals against / match0.670.80
Clean sheets50%60%
Failed to score0%40%
Both teams scored50%20%
Over 2.5100%20%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.501.39
xG against / match0.510.91
xG difference1.990.47
Finishing vs xG1.00-0.59
xPts / match2.541.73
Points vs xPts0.12-0.33
Game state
Scored first83%60%
PPG when scoring first2.602.00
PPG when conceding first3.000.00
Came back from behind100%0%
Leads held83%67%
Minutes leading60%21%
Minutes level36%59%
Minutes trailing4%20%
First goal (min)2238
First goal conceded (min)4816
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half67%25%
Goals conceded in 2nd half75%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.20
Late goals against0.170.40
Style
Possession65%52%
Shots20.313.0
On target7.83.8
Shot conversion17%6%
Shots inside box74%68%
Big chances created3.72.2
Corners8.03.6
xG from set plays31%31%
Goals from headers5%0%
Pressure index24.513.6
Dominant minutes75.844.8
Pass accuracy88%85%
Fouls13.014.6
Cards1.501.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'41
16–30'10
31–45'20
46–60'81
61–75'31
76–90'31

Gil Vicente

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'10
46–60'00
61–75'00
76–90'12

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.673.50.672.50.51

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 80%1.750.750.251.50.42
5-4-11 20%0.01.03.00.932.89

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 98 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.1 pts at 12.0h

1.13Home 86% ▲ +6.0 ptsopened 1.1710.2Draw 10% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 7.2121.03Away 5% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 13.08
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.13 ▲ +6.010.2 ▼ -3.521.03 ▼ -2.510m
bet3651.12 ▲ +2.48.5 ▼ -1.421.0 ▼ -1.010m
Betfair1.1 ▲ +2.89.5 ▼ -2.620.0 · -0.210m
BetVictor1.09 ▲ +2.08.0 ▼ -1.718.0 · -0.310m
Coral1.14 ▲ +1.59.0 ▼ -2.215.0 · +0.710m
Ladbrokes1.14 ▲ +1.59.0 ▼ -2.215.0 · +0.710m
Unibet1.16 ▲ +3.17.5 ▼ -1.916.0 ▼ -1.210m
WilliamHill1.12 ▲ +2.89.0 ▼ -2.917.0 · +0.010m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.12Home 84% P 86%8.5Draw 11% P 10%21.0Away 4% P 5%

Double Chance

1.01Benfica or Draw 48%1.08Benfica or Gil Vicente 44%6.0Draw or Gil Vicente 8%

Draw No Bet

1.021 94%17.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 69%2.87Under 33% P 31%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 85–87.5% · away 2.5–5% · 296 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home86%86%88%+1.6
Draw10%10%9%-0.8
Away5%4%3%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 72%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.9-0.44
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2252
Time added8.77.7+1.3094
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-15 40 271 12'9
2026-08-08 40 270 52'5
2026-07-30 50 140 29'4
2026-07-07 30 321 31'9
2026-05-16 20 9
2026-05-11 72 161 13'6
2026-04-18 · Gil Vicente 40 270 81'12
2026-04-04 70 220 1'10
2026-03-21 30 230 34'4
2026-03-07 40 200 12'8