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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 3

Momentum

MoreirenseBenfica
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,878

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Marco Da Silva
Position
13 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
21.4° (feels 21.3°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 43

  • Andorra DAZN Spain
  • Angola Sport TV Africa · ZAP
  • Argentina DGO · DIRECTV Sports Argentina
  • Belgium DAZN1 Belgium
  • Cape Verde Sport TV Africa · ZAP
  • Chile DGO · DIRECTV Sports Chile
  • Colombia DGO · DIRECTV Sports Colombia
  • Costa Rica Claro Sports
  • Denmark Bold+
  • Ecuador DGO · DIRECTV Sports Ecuador
  • El Salvador Claro Sports
  • Guatemala Claro Sports
  • Honduras Claro Sports
  • Israel Sport 3
  • Italy DAZN Italia
  • Japan DAZN Japan
  • Kuwait SHASHA
  • Mexico Claro Sports
  • Nicaragua Claro Sports
  • Panama Claro Sports
  • Peru DGO · DIRECTV Sports Peru
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · TVI
  • Russia Match! Football 3 · matchtv.ru · Sportbox.ru
  • San Marino DAZN Italia
  • Slovakia Arena Sport 1 Slovakia
  • Spain DAZN
  • Turkey beIN CONNECT Turkey · TOD
  • Uruguay DGO · DIRECTV Sports Uruguay
  • Venezuela DGO · DIRECTV Sports Venezuela · inter

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 6600 15213 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6510 21417 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6420 1569 14 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 6420 1147 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6312 853 10 WLWDL
6 Estrela Amadora 6240 14122 10 DWDWD
7 Sporting Braga 5311 752 10 DWWLW
8 Academico Viseu 6222 79-2 8 LDLWW
9 Gil Vicente 5212 440 7 WWDLL
10 Marítimo 6213 711-4 7 WDLLL
11 Moreirense 6213 713-6 7 LWLLW
12 Alverca 6123 811-3 5 DLDLW
13 Famalicão 6042 57-2 4 LLDDD
14 Vitória Guimarães 6114 47-3 4 LWLDL
15 Nacional 6114 711-4 4 WLLLL
16 Rio Ave 6114 514-9 4 LWLLD
17 Estoril 6024 28-6 2 LLLDL
18 Casa Pia 6015 115-14 1 LLLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 3.72–8.55 · xPts 3.83

  • L A Porto 1–2 xG 0.81–3.26 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 1–0 xG 0.58–0.88 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–4 xG 0.74–1.72 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.24–1.12 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 1.36–1.57 PRT PL

Benfica

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 18 GA 3 · xG 12.39–1.78 · xPts 12.58

  • W A Marítimo 3–0 xG 1.37–0.17 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 2–1 xG 1.96–0.34 PRT PL
  • W A AGF 3–1 xG 1.61–0.56 UEFA EL
  • W H AGF 3–1 xG 5.04–0.46 UEFA EL
  • W A Casa Pia 7–0 xG 2.4–0.26 PRT PL

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

10.6%Moreirense P 5%18.6%Draw P 10%70.8%Benfica P 85%

Over / under 2.5

54.5%Over 2.5 P 68%45.5%Under 2.5 P 32%

Both teams to score

44.8%Yes55.2%No

Expected

Moreirense goals
0.7 (0–2)
Benfica goals
2.16 (0–4)
Corners
8.54 (5–13)
Cards
4.53 (2–8)

Earlier: day before — 10.6% / 18.6% / 70.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

10.4%Moreirense18.2%Draw71.3%Benfica

Over / under 2.5

54.8%Over 2.545.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

44.2%Yes55.8%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2away0.3460.132
bttsno0.5940.401
ou_2_5over0.6070.414

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 25 matches since 2013

Moreirense 15 draws19 Benfica

Goals 18–58 · 3.04 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 04 draws6 Benfica

Goals 7–23 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 01 draws4 Benfica

Goals 4–16 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Moreirense 0–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 4–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 0–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Benfica 3–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 0–0 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Benfica 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–2 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 6Moreirense at home · 3Benfica all · 6Benfica away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.172.67
W / D / L2 / 1 / 35 / 1 / 0
Goals for / match1.173.50
Goals against / match2.170.67
Clean sheets17%50%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.583%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.782.50
xG against / match1.820.51
xG difference-1.041.99
Finishing vs xG0.391.00
xPts / match0.812.54
Points vs xPts0.360.12
Game state
Scored first50%83%
PPG when scoring first2.002.60
PPG when conceding first0.333.00
Came back from behind25%100%
Leads held67%83%
Minutes leading29%60%
Minutes level40%36%
Minutes trailing31%4%
First goal (min)1722
First goal conceded (min)3848
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half29%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.50
Late goals against0.330.17
Style
Possession36%65%
Shots7.320.3
On target2.87.8
Shot conversion16%17%
Shots inside box57%74%
Big chances created1.83.7
Corners2.58.0
xG from set plays35%31%
Goals from headers0%5%
Pressure index6.324.5
Dominant minutes27.575.8
Pass accuracy73%88%
Fouls14.213.0
Cards3.171.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'11
16–30'42
31–45'03
46–60'03
61–75'02
76–90'22

Benfica

0–15'41
16–30'10
31–45'20
46–60'81
61–75'31
76–90'31

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.51.02.250.91.63
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.00.241.12
3-4-31 17%0.01.02.00.813.26

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.673.50.672.50.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off

18.57Home 5% · -0.4 ptsopened 16.619.46Draw 10% ▼ -1.5 ptsopened 7.981.14Away 85% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.13
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle18.57 · -0.49.46 ▼ -1.51.14 ▲ +1.95m
bet36515.0 · +0.19.5 ▼ -3.31.12 ▲ +3.15m
Betfair19.0 · -0.68.5 · -0.71.12 ▲ +1.35m
BetVictor18.0 ▼ -1.07.5 · -0.91.1 ▲ +1.95m
Coral17.0 ▼ -1.78.5 ▼ -1.41.15 ▲ +3.05m
Ladbrokes17.0 ▼ -1.78.5 ▼ -1.41.14 ▲ +3.15m
Unibet15.0 ▼ -1.67.0 ▼ -2.01.17 ▲ +3.65m
WilliamHill15.0 · -0.18.5 ▼ -2.51.12 ▲ +2.65m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

15.0Home 6% P 5%9.5Draw 10% P 10%1.12Away 84% P 85%

Double Chance

5.5Moreirense or Draw 9%1.07Moreirense or Benfica 45%1.04Draw or Benfica 46%

Draw No Bet

11.01 9%1.052 91%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 68%2.87Under 33% P 32%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%12.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 80–85% · 149 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home5%6%8%+1.9
Draw10%12%9%-2.5
Away85%82%83%+0.7

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.8-1.15
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-07 50 240 30'5
2026-08-22 40 300 16'5
2026-07-30 90 512 41'2
2026-05-11 40 250 61'9
2026-05-03 30 210 63'6
2026-04-29 50 241 16'5
2026-04-23 50 180 18'8
2026-04-12 · Benfica 60 311 22'5
2026-03-15 60 270 8'5
2026-03-01 · Moreirense 50 332 2'6