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Europa League · Play-offs Aggregate 6–2 · Benfica went through · After Full Time

Momentum

BenficaAGF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Play-offs
Leg
1/2

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,147

Teams

Coaches
Marco Da Silva · Jakob Poulsen
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-1-3-2 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marco Guida

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
19.9° (feels 19.9°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
72%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Juventus 1100 505 3 W
2 Crystal Palace 1100 404 3 W
3 Sparta Praha 1100 413 3 W
4 Beşiktaş 1100 413 3 W
5 Union Saint-Gilloise 1100 303 3 W
6 Ferencvárosi 1100 312 3 W
7 Benfica 1100 202 3 W
8 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1100 202 3 W
9 OFI 1100 202 3 W
10 Olympique Lyonnais 1100 211 3 W
11 Torreense 1100 211 3 W
12 AFC Bournemouth 1100 211 3 W
13 Olympiacos F.C. 1100 211 3 W
14 Salzburg 1100 101 3 W
15 Omonia Nicosia 1100 101 3 W
16 Sunderland 1100 101 3 W
17 Rennes 1010 000 1 D
18 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1010 000 1 D
19 Dinamo Zagreb 1010 000 1 D
20 Sturm Graz 1010 000 1 D
21 Jagiellonia Białystok 1001 12-1 0 L
22 Real Sociedad 1001 12-1 0 L
23 Anderlecht 1001 12-1 0 L
24 Lillestrøm 1001 12-1 0 L
25 AZ Alkmaar 1001 01-1 0 L
26 Celta de Vigo 1001 01-1 0 L
27 Levski Sofia 1001 01-1 0 L
28 Celtic 1001 13-2 0 L
29 TSG Hoffenheim 1001 02-2 0 L
30 AC Milan 1001 02-2 0 L
31 Celje 1001 02-2 0 L
32 Olympique Marseille 1001 14-3 0 L
33 Ararat-Armenia 1001 14-3 0 L
34 Viktoria Plzeň 1001 03-3 0 L
35 Lech Poznań 1001 04-4 0 L
36 NEC Nijmegen 1001 05-5 0 L
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Benfica

WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 21 GA 4 · xG 11.1–2.74 · xPts 9.91

  • W A Casa Pia 7–0 xG 2.4–0.26 PRT PL
  • D A Hearts 1–1 xG 1.39–0.66 UEFA EL
  • D H Academico Viseu 2–2 xG 3.27–0.97 PRT PL
  • W H Hearts 6–1 xG 4.04–0.86 UEFA EL
  • W H St. Gallen 5–0 UEFA EL

AGF

LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 4.53–6.77 · xPts 2.93

  • L A Sabah 0–4 xG 1.26–2.89 UEFA CL
  • W A Lech Poznań 4–1 won on pens None–None xG 2.34–2.51 UEFA CL
  • L H Lech Poznań 1–4 xG 0.94–1.37 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Benfica 20 draws0 AGF

Goals 6–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Benfica 20 draws0 AGF

Goals 6–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Benfica 20 draws0 AGF

Goals 6–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W AGF 1–3 Benfica neutral UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 2/2
  • W Benfica 3–1 AGF UEFA EL · Play-offs · leg 1/2
MetricBenfica all · 7Benfica at home · 3AGF all · 2AGF away · 1
Results
Matches7
Points per game2.29
W / D / L5 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match3.00
Goals against / match0.86
Clean sheets29%
Failed to score0%
Both teams scored71%
Over 2.571%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.59
xG against / match0.77
xG difference1.82
Finishing vs xG0.41
xPts / match2.16
Points vs xPts0.44
Game state
Scored first71%
PPG when scoring first3.00
PPG when conceding first0.50
Came back from behind50%
Leads held100%
Minutes leading63%
Minutes level34%
Minutes trailing3%
First goal (min)25
First goal conceded (min)56
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.57
Late goals against0.29
Style
Possession61%
Shots20.1
On target7.9
Shot conversion15%
Shots inside box74%
Big chances created4.8
Corners6.7
xG from set plays35%
Goals from headers7%
Pressure index18.3
Dominant minutes63.7
Pass accuracy87%
Fouls10.6
Cards1.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'30
16–30'30
31–45'42
46–60'41
61–75'31
76–90'42

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

AGF · 5 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.39) · stands out: when behind -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.395
Early press (0-15, level)-0.305
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.373

Game state

When level-0.255
When behind-0.494
10 min after conceding-0.474
10 min after scoring-0.264

Situations

At home-0.442
Away-0.353
4+ days rest-0.395

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.542
As underdog-0.414

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.565
Conceded late (76+)+0.363

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.24

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 71%2.03.00.82.10.94
4-1-3-22 29%3.03.01.03.320.51

AGF

Current: winless 3 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-22 100%0.01.03.00.513.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.2h before kick-off · 6 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off

1.14Home 83% · -0.2 ptsopened 1.148.78Draw 11% · +0.4 ptsopened 9.1215.06Away 6% · -0.2 ptsopened 14.66
1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.14 · -0.28.78 · +0.415.06 · -0.21.0h
bet3651.14 ▼ -1.37.0 · +0.715.0 · +0.61.0h
Betfair1.12 · +0.48.0 · -0.016.0 · -0.41.0h
BetVictor1.11 · +0.48.5 · -0.119.0 · -0.31.0h
Coral1.17 · +0.08.0 · +0.015.0 · +0.01.0h
Ladbrokes1.15 · +0.08.0 · +0.015.0 · +0.01.0h
Unibet1.12 ▲ +1.18.0 · -0.715.0 · -0.41.0h
WilliamHill1.12 ▲ +1.48.0 · -0.813.0 · -0.61.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.14Home 81% P 83%7.0Draw 13% P 11%15.0Away 6% P 6%

Double Chance

1.01Benfica or Draw 47%1.08Benfica or AGF Aarhus 44%5.0Draw or AGF Aarhus 9%

Draw No Bet

1.041 90%9.02 10%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 66% P 71%2.75Under 34% P 29%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%86%+2.5
Draw11%11%9%-1.4
Away6%6%5%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 478 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.3

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Europa League (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.78 cards, 21.6 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-11 80 290 19'5
2026-05-24 40 170 2'6
2026-04-09 10 150 15'8
2026-04-04 42 220 17'7
2026-03-15 50 260 55'15
2026-03-10 30 231 34'9
2026-02-26 10 180 40'7
2026-02-22 11 230 45'5
2026-02-08 20 140 33'8
2026-01-28 30 190 22'6