Rating 7.21 (87th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (29) · 1.55 without (11)
Europa League · League Stage · Matchday 1
Momentum
– AC MilanBenfica –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| AC Milan | at home | Stat | league | away | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.0 #14 | – | Ball possession | 49.4 | – | 61.3 #13 |
| 17.0 #13 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 16.6 #16 |
| 4.0 #39 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 6.4 #8 |
| 10.0 #6 | – | Corners | 5.1 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 14.0 #19 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.6 #56 |
| – | – | Offsides | 1.7 | – | 1.7 #24 |
| 9.0 #33 | – | Tackles | 11.6 | – | 14.7 #18 |
| 120.0 #10 | – | Attacks | 97.8 | – | 107.9 #27 |
| 69.0 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 51.6 | – | 53.3 #30 |
| 570.0 #7 | – | Passes | 381.8 | – | 576.1 #6 |
| 1.0 #55 | – | Yellowcards | 2.1 | – | 1.4 #53 |
| – | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 2.1 #5 |
| – #49 | – | Btts | 40.6 | – | – #20 |
| – #39 | – | Cleansheet | 30.2 | – | – #31 |
| – #33 | – | Draw | 19.0 | – | – #31 |
| 1.3 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.9 #11 |
| -1.3 #48 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.1 | – | 1.1 #10 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 40.2 | – | – #47 |
| 0.0 #58 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 #4 |
| 2.0 #18 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 #57 |
| 4.0 #51 | – | Interceptions | 8.1 | – | 7.9 #31 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 47.0 | – | – #55 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.4 | – | 0.6 #5 |
| 6.7 #32 | – | Rating | 6.7 | – | 7.1 #5 |
| 3.0 #31 | – | Shots blocked | 3.3 | – | 5.4 #16 |
| 9.0 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.5 | – | 10.9 #14 |
| 10.0 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 6.3 #27 |
| 8.0 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.3 | – | 3.7 #29 |
| – #42 | – | Win | 33.9 | – | – #16 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 76.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 80 of 80
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.74 · away 1.01)
- Home / draw / away
- 54% · 21% · 25%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 42% · 56%
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (reds 0.13)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AC Milan · Last 365 days
Rating 7.23 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (32) · 1.25 without (8)
Rating 7.08 (92th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (31) · 2.22 without (9)
Benfica · 2026/2027 · Europa League
Rating 7.66 (0th pct) · G+A 6 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Rating 7.35 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Rating 7.19 (75th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (24% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Absences
AC Milan
- injury Warren Bondo midfielder · Unknown Injury · 72 missed
- suspension Sankhoun Diawara defender · Indirect Card Suspension
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- League Stage
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 68,393
Teams
- Coaches
- Ruben Amorim · Marco Da Silva
- Position
- 33 · 8
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jarred Gillett
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 22.9° (feels 23.2°)
- Wind
- 2.3
- Humidity
- 74%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15 |  Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 |  Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 |  Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Beşiktaş |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | OFI |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympiacos F.C. |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Omonia Nicosia |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Sturm Graz |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AFC Bournemouth |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Benfica |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 14 | Celje |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 15 | Celta de Vigo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16 | Dinamo Zagreb |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 17 | Ferencvárosi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19 | Lech Poznań |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20 | NEC Nijmegen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Olympique Lyonnais |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 22 | Olympique Marseille |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23 | Rennes |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 24 | Salzburg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Sparta Praha |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 26 | TSG Hoffenheim |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27 | Torreense |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29 | Anderlecht |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | Lillestrøm |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Real Sociedad |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Levski Sofia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 33 | Celtic |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | AC Milan |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Ararat-Armenia |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 36 | Viktoria Plzeň |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Union Saint-Gilloise |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Ferencvárosi |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 | Benfica |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 5 | AFC Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 7 | Torreense |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Salzburg |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 10 | Rennes |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 11 | AC Milan |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Anderlecht |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 14 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15 | Beşiktaş |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16 | Celtic |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17 | Crystal Palace |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 19 | Juventus |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 20 | Levski Sofia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 21 | Lillestrøm |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 22 | OFI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23 | Olympiacos F.C. |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 24 | Omonia Nicosia |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 25 | Real Sociedad |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Sturm Graz |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27 | Sunderland |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28 | Viktoria Plzeň |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29 | Jagiellonia Białystok |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 31 | Celta de Vigo |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 32 | Celje |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 33 | TSG Hoffenheim |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 34 | Olympique Marseille |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 | Lech Poznań |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
- 8th Finals
- Play-off
AC Milan
LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.14–7.7 · xPts 6.91
- D
A
Lazio
2–2
xG 1.44–1.83
ITA SA - D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.11–1.24
ITA SA
- W
H
Venezia
2–0
xG 2.57–1.05
ITA SA - W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA - L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.14–7.7 · xPts 6.91
- D
A
Lazio
2–2
xG 1.44–1.83
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
1–1
xG 0.11–1.24
ITA SA
- W
H
Venezia
2–0
xG 2.57–1.05
ITA SA
- W
A
Torino
2–1
xG 2.24–1.06
ITA SA
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
Benfica
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 3 · xG 10.94–2.39 · xPts 12.18
- W
H
Gil Vicente
3–1
xG 2.89–0.93
PRT PL - W
A
Moreirense
4–0
xG 3.1–0.4
PRT PL - W
A
Marítimo
3–0
xG 1.37–0.17
PRT PL - W
H
Estoril
2–1
xG 1.96–0.34
PRT PL - W
A
AGF
3–1
xG 1.61–0.56
UEFA EL
WDDWWWWWWW 8W 2D 0L · 26 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 34 GA 8 · xG 27.08–5.58 · xPts 25.03
- W
H
Gil Vicente
3–1
xG 2.89–0.93
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
4–0
xG 3.1–0.4
PRT PL
- W
A
Marítimo
3–0
xG 1.37–0.17
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
2–1
xG 1.96–0.34
PRT PL
- W
A
AGF
3–1
xG 1.61–0.56
UEFA EL
- W
H
AGF
3–1
xG 5.04–0.46
UEFA EL
- W
A
Casa Pia
7–0
xG 2.4–0.26
PRT PL - D
A
Hearts
1–1
xG 1.39–0.66
UEFA EL - D
H
Academico Viseu
2–2
xG 3.27–0.97
PRT PL - W
H
Hearts
6–1
xG 4.04–0.86
UEFA EL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
28.7%AC Milan P 44%25.2%Draw P 26%46.2%Benfica P 30%
Over / under 2.5
53.3%Over 2.5 P 58%46.7%Under 2.5 P 42%
Both teams to score
56.2%Yes43.8%No
Expected
- AC Milan goals
- 1.21 (0–3)
- Benfica goals
- 1.6 (0–3)
- Corners
- 7.82 (4–12)
- Cards
- 3.61 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 28.7% / 25.2% / 46.2%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
31.7%AC Milan24.4%Draw43.9%Benfica
Over / under 2.5
58.9%Over 2.541.1%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
56.9%Yes43.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.773 | 0.436 |
| btts | no | 0.827 | 0.633 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.761 | 0.568 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 3 matches since 2007
Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 3–4 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%
Recent meetings
- L AC Milan 0–2 Benfica UEFA EL · League Stage
- D Benfica 1–1 AC Milan UEFA CL · Group Stage
- W AC Milan 2–1 Benfica UEFA CL · Group Stage
| Metric | AC Milan all · 1 | AC Milan at home · 1 | Benfica all · 7 | Benfica away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.29 | – |
| W / D / L | – | – | 5 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 0.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | – | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 2.59 | – |
| xG against / match | – | – | 0.77 | – |
| xG difference | – | – | 1.82 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.41 | – |
| xPts / match | – | – | 2.16 | – |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.44 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | – | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 63% | – |
| Minutes level | – | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 3% | – |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 25 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 56 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 52% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 67% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.57 | – |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 61% | – |
| Shots | – | – | 20.1 | – |
| On target | – | – | 7.9 | – |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 15% | – |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 74% | – |
| Big chances created | – | – | 4.8 | – |
| Corners | – | – | 6.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 35% | – |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 7% | – |
| Pressure index | – | – | 18.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 63.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.6 | – |
| Cards | – | – | 1.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Benfica
0–15'30
16–30'30
31–45'42
46–60'41
61–75'31
76–90'42
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.495
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.564
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.443
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.693
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead+0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.22
Benfica · 13 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122
Game state
When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 100% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.87 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 71% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.94 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 29% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan at home · 10 | Benfica all · 10 | Benfica away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 2.60 | 2.30 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.59 | 2.39 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 0.60 | 1.04 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.27 | 1.79 | 0.97 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.59 | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| xPts / match | 1.36 | 1.54 | 2.33 | 1.97 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.44 | 0.27 | 0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 17% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 89% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 15% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 52% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 3% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 49 | 25 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 32 | 53 | 67 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 92% | 70% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 71% | 88% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 56% | 62% | 55% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.2 | 20.0 | 15.3 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 6.0 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 15% | 18% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 74% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 21% | 31% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 10% | 4% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 15.9 | 22.9 | 16.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.8 | 55.7 | 71.4 | 55.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 89% | 88% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.0 | 12.2 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Benfica
0–15'51
16–30'30
31–45'41
46–60'102
61–75'41
76–90'42
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 0.63 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Benfica all · 52 | Benfica away · 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 52 | 27 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.68 | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 33 / 12 / 7 | 16 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Goals against / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 37% | 36% | 41% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 54% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% | 69% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.85 | 2.18 | 1.82 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.31 | 0.87 | 0.99 |
| xG difference | 0.28 | 0.54 | 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.53 | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.70 | 2.09 | 1.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | -0.01 | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | 69% | 67% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 53% | 50% | 59% | 44% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 80% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 27% | 47% | 40% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 43% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 23% | 10% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | 29 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 37 | 47 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 64% | 52% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 62% | 70% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.8 | 17.3 | 15.5 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 6.6 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 32% | 27% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 15.8 | 19.5 | 20.4 | 18.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | 58.2 | 63.1 | 56.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Benfica
0–15'185
16–30'205
31–45'187
46–60'259
61–75'138
76–90'2411
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Benfica · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.48) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4852
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3152
Late push (76+, level)+0.7719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0311
Game state
When ahead+0.3841
When level+0.6252
When behind+0.2217
10 min after conceding+0.1132
10 min after scoring+0.7145
Situations
With ten men-0.154
Against ten men+0.295
At home+0.4925
Away+0.4627
3 days rest or fewer+0.356
4+ days rest+0.4946
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0615
v mid-tier opponents+0.388
v bottom-tier opponents+0.9613
As favourite+0.6641
Evenly matched-0.044
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1952
Conceded when ahead-0.1641
Conceded late (76+)-0.3842
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.41
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
Benfica
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 46 88% | 2.2 | 2.35 | 0.83 | 2.18 | 0.87 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.32 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.82 | 0.5 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.51 | 0.78 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.31 | 2.34 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.9 pts at 20m · late move: home +3.9 pts inside the final hour
2.18Home 44% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 2.083.72Draw 26% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 3.523.27Away 30% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 3.49
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.18 ▼ -1.3 | 3.72 ▼ -1.0 | 3.27 ▲ +2.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.25 ▼ -1.8 | 3.5 · -0.0 | 3.1 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.15 ▼ -2.9 | 3.5 · +0.9 | 3.1 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.1 · -0.4 | 3.7 ▼ -1.0 | 3.1 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.3 ▼ -3.0 | 3.6 · -0.1 | 2.9 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 ▼ -3.5 | 3.6 · +0.2 | 2.9 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.02 · +0.0 | 3.75 · +0.0 | 3.35 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.15 ▼ -1.6 | 3.4 · -0.4 | 3.0 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 24.0h
1.57Yes 59% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.612.25No 41% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +1.2 | 2.25 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +2.2 | 2.5 ▼ -2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +2.6 | 2.4 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.55 · +0.0 | 2.32 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +2.6 | 2.4 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.6 pts at 4.0h
1.66Over 58% ▲ +2.9 ptsopened 1.722.3Under 42% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 2.12
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.66 ▲ +2.9 | 2.3 ▼ -2.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.0 | 2.2 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +2.4 | 2.25 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 ▲ +2.5 | 2.15 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.65 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.1Away 31% P 30%
Double Chance
1.36AC Milan or Draw 35%1.28AC Milan or Benfica 37%1.66Draw or Benfica 28%
Draw No Bet
1.571 59%2.252 41%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 58%2.2Under 43% P 42%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.2Under 42% P 41%
4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44% | 44% | 43% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 30% | +2.4 |
| Away | 30% | 29% | 26% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Jarred Gillett
- Career
- 179 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.64 yellow · 0.07 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Europa League (5-year window · 1 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 26.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-08-31 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 29' | 9 |
| 2026-08-23 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 45' | 4 |
| 2026-05-23 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 90' | 11 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 59' | 10 |
| 2026-05-11 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 41' | 15 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-04-26 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 60' | 12 |
| 2026-04-19 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 52' | 9 |
| 2026-04-10 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9' | 5 |