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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 19

Momentum

BenficaCFEA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
19

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
54,548

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · João Nuno
Position
3 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 13.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 15

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Benfica

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 8.85–4.21 · xPts 9.93

  • L A Juventus 0–2 xG 1.52–1.13 UEFA CL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.94–0.29 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–1 xG 2.94–0.85 PRT PL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 1.24–1.75 PRT PL
  • W H Famalicão 1–0 xG 1.21–0.19 PRT PL

Estrela Amadora

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 13 · xG 3.38–12.62 · xPts 2.58

  • L H Estoril 0–5 xG 0.17–2.24 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting Braga 3–3 xG 1.15–3.38 PRT PL
  • W A Famalicão 3–2 xG 0.7–2.69 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 0–0 xG 1.11–0.82 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.26–3.49 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2005

Benfica 131 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 29–6 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 36% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Benfica 91 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 21–4 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 50 draws0 Estrela Amadora

Goals 13–3 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Benfica 4–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 0–1 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 2–3 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–4 Benfica PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 2–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–2 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Benfica neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Benfica 3–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricBenfica all · 34Benfica at home · 17Estrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.352.290.880.71
W / D / L23 / 11 / 011 / 6 / 06 / 12 / 162 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match2.182.411.121.00
Goals against / match0.740.761.651.88
Clean sheets41%41%24%18%
Failed to score6%0%44%47%
Both teams scored59%59%47%53%
Over 2.571%71%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.212.431.130.92
xG against / match0.880.671.631.74
xG difference1.331.75-0.50-0.82
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.01-0.020.08
xPts / match2.122.331.070.89
Points vs xPts0.23-0.04-0.19-0.19
Game state
Scored first79%82%26%24%
PPG when scoring first2.482.431.560.50
PPG when conceding first2.201.670.550.70
Came back from behind100%100%33%31%
Leads held77%73%50%33%
Minutes leading48%54%15%13%
Minutes level46%40%52%53%
Minutes trailing6%7%33%34%
First goal (min)33304039
First goal conceded (min)51433333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%46%50%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%46%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.470.590.180.18
Late goals against0.240.240.180.29
Style
Possession58%59%47%43%
Shots17.018.110.88.6
On target6.06.93.63.2
Shot conversion13%13%10%12%
Shots inside box67%68%55%56%
Big chances created3.33.32.01.5
Corners7.27.53.33.1
xG from set plays32%35%41%43%
Goals from headers16%10%13%12%
Pressure index23.826.18.96.7
Dominant minutes67.773.838.430.6
Pass accuracy84%85%79%78%
Fouls11.011.214.414.5
Cards2.151.822.852.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'104
16–30'152
31–45'134
46–60'134
61–75'73
76–90'168

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-129 85%2.382.240.792.20.9
4-4-23 9%2.331.670.332.180.94
4-2-2-21 3%3.03.00.02.510.78
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.02.430.22

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.18Home 80% P 83%7.5Draw 13% P 12%13.0Away 7% P 5%

Double Chance

1.04Benfica or Draw 46% P 47%1.1Benfica or Estrela Amadora 43% P 44%4.5Draw or Estrela Amadora 11% P 9%

Draw No Bet

1.051 91%11.02 9%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41% P 38%1.57No 59% P 62%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 61%2.35Under 40% P 39%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 2.5–5% · 162 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%87%+3.0
Draw12%11%6%-5.9
Away5%5%7%+2.9

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes38%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.561%61%63%+1.5

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.9+1.04
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.229
Time added8.17.7+0.6076
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-16 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 91 390 19'8
2025-10-04 50 220 24'13
2025-08-17 90 380 42'9
2025-08-09 90 370 42'8
2025-04-26 · Estrela Amadora 80 311 34'10
2025-04-12 71 280 23'10
2025-03-02 40 361 8'9